PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data

Every bet graded in public, losses and all. Free Cup card and DFS card every race week. Lap data, not vibes.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Denny Hamlin says 80% of Saturday drivers pay to drive.

We researched every full timer since 2005, Cup regulars out. 494 driver seasons.

Family money, 2005 to 2009: 13%.
Family money, 2020 to 2026: 13%.

Dad didn't take over. This grew:
https://t.co/6XrROEI8Nb

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

The whole thing, 660 races and three decades of quotes on these two, is here. Rearview, No. 1:
https://t.co/0NxihlPwr0

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

In 2011 Jeff Gordon told an 18-year-old Kyle Larson to quit dirt racing. "They're going to teach you bad habits."

Ten years later Gordon was his boss, and Larson was running 100 races a year. Gordon's take now: "All I know is it works."

We went 660 races deep on these two: https://t.co/VMArE1YFZl

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Six cars, nobody starting better than 25th, $49,300 of $50,000, rank 4 of the 3,511,700 legal lineups. Lock is at the green flag. Sleep on it.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Late night Talladega DraftKings rules.

No top five starters. 45 tried it in this car: 1 won, 10 wrecked.

Start from the back. Every spot gained is a point.

Laps led pay a quarter point. The winner led the most laps 0 of 9 times.

#NASCARDFS #DraftKings
https://t.co/oUX0kbcWyi

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Saturday's O'Reilly card, every bet, every price:
https://t.co/EAoLEIViYa

Friday's Trucks card is on the site too. The Cup card drops in the morning. Play 1 is free. The email list gets it first.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Sammy Smith does it again 🔥🔥🔥

Friday night we bet Sammy Smith to win the truck race at +2000. He won.

Saturday we bet Sammy Smith to win the O'Reilly race at +1800. He won.

$100 on each ticket. $3,800 back.

Sign up for Sunday's Cup card below. Sammy Smith isn't on it, so we're on our own.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

His own words today: "We've led laps, won stages and missing that one other stat."

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Rajah Caruth at Talladega in April: started 7th, led 5 laps, finished 30th.

Today he's +2500 to win. We bet it.

Three top 10s in six drafting starts this year. His teammate in the same shop is half the price.

Starts 6th. The whole O'Reilly card:
https://t.co/wdb4SFRMYb

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

He won Stage 1 here in April and led 22 laps. Then a blend-line penalty buried him to 22nd.

He was 2nd here last October. 2nd at Atlanta and 3rd at Daytona this year.

Starts 4th today. Nobody is talking about him.

Our biggest bet on the O'Reilly card:
https://t.co/wLbsAl5EDI

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

His take on the carryover from the truck: "a lot does and doesn't really apply for today with the O'Reilly car. They just drive so much different."

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Sammy Smith won the truck race here last night.

In 2024 he won this O'Reilly race from 27th.

Today he starts 11th. He missed the final round by 0.004.

We bet him to win at +1800. He's 1 of 6 on the card:
https://t.co/8Y5THJURp4

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Jake Finch missed the pole by 0.002 and starts 2nd. His dad James put Brad Keselowski in victory lane here in 2009.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Jesse Love: 5 straight Talladega poles. Never outside the top 10 here.

Corey Day: won here in April. Starts last today with a new engine.

Sammy Smith: won the truck race last night. Starts 11th.

All 38, every one read:
https://t.co/C1RyYVFYLi

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

@pkligerman called this before we ran a single number. He said every era would look a lot like now, "just with more recognizable stickers on the cars." Turns out he was right. 13% then, 13% now.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Denny Hamlin says 80% of Saturday drivers pay to drive.

We researched every full timer since 2005, Cup regulars out. 494 driver seasons.

Family money, 2005 to 2009: 13%.
Family money, 2020 to 2026: 13%.

Dad didn't take over. This grew:
https://t.co/6XrROEI8Nb

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Bob Pockrass picked Sammy to win the truck race yesterday.

Sammy on air: "Bob hasn't picked me to win in a while so I feel really good about our Spectrum Chevrolet today." Then he won. @bobpockrass, your move.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

Our last 4 Trucks and O'Reilly cards. The winner was on every one.

Corey Day +600. Won.
Kaden Honeycutt +550. Won.
Jesse Love +450. Won.
Sammy Smith +2000. Won last night.

4 for 4, all posted before the green flag.

Today's card has 6 bets. Sammy's +1800 is one:
https://t.co/PxRhmoG2bN

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

The +1500 guy at Talladega: 7th, 6th, 12th his last three there.

Everywhere else lately: 22, 20, 34, 31, 19, 24.

Some guys just need a draft.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

We bet 6 O'Reilly cars at Talladega today.

1.5 units on a guy who won Stage 1 here in April, led 22 laps, finished 22nd.
1 unit on a guy who won here from 27th on the grid.
1 unit at +1500 on a guy whose best finish in his last six is 19th.

All 6, plus the 3 we liked but didn't bet:

https://t.co/ENQvbg3x5C

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

@rjmanalytics 100%. Ty Gibbs had 7 of the 11 family wins since 2020 by himself. The tag looks the same on a spreadsheet, but it's not the same thing.

[PitByNumbers | NASCAR Data @pitbynumbers]

@reinhardNASCAR Also here was part 1: https://t.co/stEi4HXaBL