Pitcher Longevity Engine

Daily MLB pitcher projections
Outs • Innings • Workload • Rest • Matchup context
Made out of love for baseball
Against sports gambling ❌
PitcherlongevityEngine

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

⚾️ Building an MLB pitching projection model as a passion project.

Projecting how deep starters will go using workload, rest, opponent strength, bullpen usage + more.

Posting daily projections and tracking results as I improve the model. 📊

#MLB #BaseballAnalytics

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@TphamLV @MarkMerkem @StoolBaseball Your crying is embarrassing little bro get off this app and get a life you’ve made too much money to be acting like this

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@BOSSportsGordo I remember this vividly so fucking awesome

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

My pitcher longevity model has Jesús Luzardo over Logan Webb and Yoshinobu Yamamoto today 👀

Luzardo: 17.6 outs
Webb: 17.5
Yamamoto: 17.5

All three are basically knocking on the door of 6 innings.

Who are you trusting to go deepest? ⬇️

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

🚨 MLB PITCHER LONGEVITY MODEL — AUGUST 21 🚨

Today’s top 5:

Jesús Luzardo — 17.6 outs
Logan Webb — 17.5
Yoshinobu Yamamoto — 17.5
Sean Burke — 17.4
Troy Melton — 17.3

Who finishes with the most outs today? 👀⚾

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

Full results from yesterday!!

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

🚨 Yesterday’s Pitcher Longevity Model results:

🎯 Gerrit Cole: 17.9 projected → 18 actual
🎯 Kyle Bradish: 17.8 → 17
🎯 Gavin Williams: 17.4 → 17

🔥 Grayson Rodriguez: 16.0 → 21
🔥 Shane Bieber: 15.6 → 21

💀 Peter Lambert: 17.1 → 11
💀 George Kirby: 15.9 → 10

Some absolute bullseyes. Some absolute disasters.

Which result surprises you the MOST? 👇

#MLB #BaseballAnalytics

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@hallofgoodpod He should be in the Hall of very good bro was a dawg

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@Curtisrjoly @DanClarkSports State has low taxes it doesn’t matter

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@JeffPassan Hey bud, I hope you like prison food

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@makefanduelpoor @MLBDeadlineNews

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@MLBDeadlineNews

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@MLBDeadlineNews Won’t happen

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@MLBGuyRocked Sure did

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@BaseballQuotes1 YanKees need a guy like this instead of the using swing for the fences dudes they go after

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

🚨 BRADY SINGER GOES 6.

My pitcher longevity model projected Brady Singer for 16.9 outs (5.6 IP) today.

Actual: 18 outs (6.0 IP) 🔥

📊 Projection: 16.9 outs
⚾ Actual: 18 outs
🎯 Difference: just 1.1 outs

The model had Singer as the 5th-highest starter on the entire board for longevity today — and he delivered six full innings.

Another strong result for the model 👀

#MLB #Reds #BaseballAnalytics

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

🚨 ANOTHER ONE ALMOST DEAD ON.

My model projected Michael McGreevy for 15.6 outs (5.2 IP) today vs. Cincinnati.

Actual: 16 outs (5.1 IP) 🎯

📊 Projection: 15.6 outs
⚾ Actual: 16 outs
🔥 Missed by just 0.4 outs

Gavin Williams: off by 0.4 outs
McGreevy: off by 0.4 outs

The pitcher longevity model is having itself a day

#MLB #STLCards #BaseballAnalytics

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

🚨 THE MODEL BEAT THE EXPECTATION

My pitcher longevity model projected Landen Roupp for 14.8 outs (4.9 IP) today.

Actual: 16 outs (5.1 IP)

📊 Projection: 14.8 outs
⚾ Actual: 16 outs
🎯 Difference: just 1.2 outs

That’s now Roupp AND Gavin Williams landing extremely close to the model today.

Still tracking the rest of the board as the games finish

#MLB #SFGiants #BaseballAnalytics

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

🎯 ANOTHER STRONG MODEL HIT

My pitcher longevity model projected Gavin Williams for 17.4 outs (5.8 IP) today.

Actual result: 17 outs (5.2 IP)

📊 Projection: 17.4 outs
⚾ Actual: 17 outs
🎯 Missed by just 0.4 outs

That’s about as close as it gets.

Been building this model in R to predict how deep starting pitchers will go based on rest, workload, opponent strength, bullpen usage and more.

Who should I post the model’s projection for next?

#MLB #Guardians #BaseballAnalytics

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@OnyxOdds Ggs

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@MLB @Reds All 200 fans are going crazy in the stands!

[Pitcher Longevity Engine @PitcherLongev]

@OleTimeHardball Knicks legend Tyler Kolek mentioned