deranged lefty

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@DjsokeSpeaking Do we know what time? Or an estimate?

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@hjessy_ Hinds County

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@jamiedupree

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@lxeagle17 I feel like his shtick works better with low-propensity voters anyway. If you’re gonna vote in a midterm you’re probably more informed, and you probably can realize that Osborn is not being real honest

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@vanillaopinions It may be because the Iowa Senate campaign has been very unusually kind. I remember reading about the debate and the candidates just didn’t have any messy exchanges at all. It’s probably why IA also has the most popular GOP candidate

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@Namelongnumbers Damn will they be made public before the election? Or will someone leak them lol

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

Does anyone know when Emerson polls drop

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@ElectoralEagle MN/WI/MI/AZ/NY/NV/VA are the pickups I’m thinking but it obviously depends on the environment

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@tenyearsnow He’s giving Trump nearly a 30% chance of winning? I think it’s below 1%

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@dcg1114 Whyyyyyyyy would you jinx it

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@sable98677 @BeshearStan It’s not going to align perfectly with the 2024 electorate for 2 reasons

1) The electorate is going to be more blue. In fact, the 2026 electorate probably would have elected Harris.

2) People lie to pollsters about who they voted for before.

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@JoePostingg My grandma, mom, and my sister and her wife all believe this

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@admcrlsn Still can’t believe he propped her up over McMorrow. What was he thinking? Was Israel the only thing he had in mind?

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

Jackson’s odds on Kalshi just dropped 4000%

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

MAINE SENATE

Collins - 50%
Jackson - 46%

🔴Collins +3

Marist Polling | 800 LV | 8/20-26

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@ettingermentum And many people are waiting around, salivating at the thought of this moment manifesting. Many of those who work with Mamdani and try to mooch off his popularity will quickly throw him under the bus and help ruin his operation

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@ettingermentum And that’s not to say he should be scared to implement left-wing policies. But if he fires Tisch and, say, crime rates coincidentally rise too, a bad media cycle can snowball and turn his vibe from sunshine and rainbows to radical Islamist anarchist takeover of NYC.

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@StatisticUrban For Dems, the race might be frozen until Harris makes a decision (considering she’s polling as the heavy favorite) and I doubt she moves immediately. Or they might all start trying to get the jump on her by announcing earlier and drowning her out.

[deranged lefty @politicssguyy]

@StatisticUrban I feel like each side has 2 possibilities. For GOP, either Vance will quickly consolidate the base or cracks will show and a longer-than-expected battle for the nomination might ensue (and this is probably heavily dependent on the severity of the midterm losses).