PollCat

Covering a mix of elections around the world | Currently: 🔴🟢⚪️Basque regional election | Run by @conrad_aml

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

Here's a couple of maps of the results for the two elections PollCat covered last year. Hopefully there may be more this year!

#Quebec #London

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇪🇸🔴🟢⚪️ You can now view seat projections for each of the three constituencies

🟩EAJ–PNV projected to be the largest party in Biscay

🟦EHBildu projected to be the largest party in Alava and Gipuzkoa

See at: https://t.co/t7I4Uup6zg

#Basque #21A #EleccionesVascas

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇪🇸🔴🟢⚪With lots of new polls before the poll ban takes place tomorrow, here is the seat forecast in the #Basque election #21A

🟩EAJ–PNV: 28 (-3)
🟦EHBildu: 28 (+7)
🌹PSE-EE: 10 (-)
🔵PP: 7 (+1)
🔴Sumar: 1 (+1)
🟩Vox: 1 (-)
🟣Elkarrekin: 0 (-6)

See at: https://t.co/t7I4Uup6zg

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇪🇸🔴🟢⚪️Latest forecast for #21A #Basque election following new polls from Sigma Dos, NC Report, & Data10

🟩EAJ/PNV: 28
🟦EHBildu: 28
🌹PSE-EE: 10 (-1)
🔵PP: 7
🔴Sumar: 1 (+1)
🟢Vox: 1
🟣Elkarrekin: 0

+/- vs. 2 April forecast

See at: https://t.co/eaE2K4l86r

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇪🇸🔴🟢⚪️We have a page up for the upcoming Basque regional election! EAJ/PNV and EH Bildu are tied for first place

Forecast
🟩EAJ/PNV: 28 (-3)
🟦EHBildu: 28 (+7)
🌹PSE-EE: 11 (+1)
🔵PP: 7 (+1)
🟢Vox: 1 (-)

See here: https://t.co/2MErjMaRkQ

#21A #Basque

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

13 Feb #Galicia #18F polling average update

🔵PP: 46.0% (-0.2), 39 seats (-)
⭐️BNG: 29.3% (+0.3), 22 (-)
🌹PSdeG: 16.1% (-0.2), 13 (-)
🟡DO: 0.8% (+0.1), 1 (-)

🔴Sumar: 3.4% (+0.1), 0 (-)
🟢Vox: 2.6% (+0.1), 0 (-)
🟣Podemos: 0.6% (-), 0 (-)

+/- 12/02

https://t.co/Q19eKgZ9o1

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

12 Feb #Galicia #18F polling average update

🔵PP: 46.2% (-), 39 seats (-)
⭐️BNG: 29.0% (+0.4), 22 (-1)
🌹PSdeG: 16.3% (-0.5), 13 (-)
🟡 DO: 0.7% (+0.1), 1 (+1)

🔴Sumar: 3.3% (+0.1), 0 (-)
🟢Vox: 2.5% (+0.2), 0 (-)
🟣Podemos: 0.6% (-), 0 (-)

(+/- 11/02)

https://t.co/Q19eKgZHdz

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇪🇸We have a page up for next week's Galician regional election! PP remain strong and are favoured to keep the majority but BNG are reaching record high numbers

Forecast:
🔵PP: 39 (-3)
⭐️BNG: 22 (+3)
🌹PSdeG: 13 (-1)
🟡DO: 1 (new)

See here: https://t.co/Q19eKgZ9o1

#18F #Galicia

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇫🇮Finnish Presidential Election: With new polls from Tietoykkönen, Verian, and Åbo Akademi, the polling average stands at

🔵Stubb: 54.6%
🟢Haavisto: 45.4%

#Finland #presidentinvaalit2024

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇫🇮With the Finnish presidential election now heading to a runoff between Stubb (Kok) and Haaivsto (Vihr), we have updated the page with runoff polling

The current average is
🔵Stubb: 57.8%
🟢Haavisto: 42.2%

#Finland #presidentinvaalit2024

https://t.co/NXyUMtCcYG

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

🇫🇮We have a page up with polling averages for the upcoming Finnish presidential election

Alexander Stubb is narrowly leading but a runoff is highly likely

🔵Stubb: 25.7%
🟢Haavisto: 24.4%
🟡Halla-aho: 16.6%

#Finland #presidentinvaalit2024

https://t.co/NXyUMtCKOe

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

In Seville on the current projected seat count based on the average, PP+Vox lead with 16 seats to 15 for PSOE+Podemos – but the left can win if either...

💚Adelante reach the 5% threshold
🟣Podemos overtake Vox for 3rd place
🌹PSOE's lead over PP is bigger

#Sevilla #28M

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

In Cantabria the 🟡PRC+🌹PSOE pact may fall short of a majority but can be renewed if 🟣Podemos get above the 5% threshold and support it – their average is 5.8%

🔵PP+🟢Vox are close to being able to govern on their own though

See more: https://t.co/NUx2wi3epM

#Cantabria #28M

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

The election in the Valencian Community will likely be one of the closest regional elections in Spain tomorrow

🔵 PP has a clear lead over PSOE
🌹 But PSOE+CC+Podem is projected 50 seats with 49 for PP+Vox based on poll average

#Valencia #28M

See more: https://t.co/FUUhHXk2MW

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

In Barcelona polls have been fairly steady the past few weeks though with some key uncertainties:
🥇 PSC, Junts, BComú could all come 1st – important for taking position of mayor.
5️⃣ Vox and CUP are both hovering near the 5% threshold for attaining seats
#Barcelona #28M

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

We now have up a page for all the elections being held in Spain's autonomous communities on Sunday! 🇪🇸

See seat forecasts and polling averages for each region here:

https://t.co/DMVf64XfoC

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

A flurry of new polls in #Barcelona, but the seat forecast based on the average stays the same

🌹 PSC 10 (+2)
🩵 Junts 10 (+5)
🟣 BComú 9 (-1)
🔺 ERC 7 (-3)
🔵 PP 3 (+1)
🟢 Vox 2 (+2)
🟠 Cs 0 (-6)
🟨 CUP 0 (–)

+/- w. 2019 result

https://t.co/2rYltD6mGD

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

In #Barcelona, Vox's polling average is right at the 5% threshold which could be the difference between whether or not PSC+BComú get a majority on their own

🌹 PSC 10
🩵 Junts 10 (+1)
🟣 BComú 9
🔺 ERC 7
🔵 PP 3
🟢 Vox 2 (-1)
🟠 Cs 0
🟨 CUP 0

+/- May 16
https://t.co/2rYltD6mGD

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

CC falls in the polls in #Valencia, meaning that PP+Vox have a majority on average

🔵 PP 12 (–)
🟧 CC 8 (-2)
🌹 PSOE 8 (+1)
🟢 Vox 5 (+1)
🟠 Cs 0 (–)
🟣 Podem 0 (–)

+/- w May 10 projection

See more at:

https://t.co/SiONm5eVjN

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

Adelante on average are not getting the 5% needed to win seats in #Seville, but the left still leads the projected seat count

🌹 PSOE 13 (+1)
🔵 PP 12 (+1)
🟢 Vox 3 (–)
🟣 Podemos 3 (–)
💚 Adelante 0 (-2)
🟠 Cs 0 (–)

+/- w May 11 projection

https://t.co/9sp7qEBAST

[PollCat @pollcat_stats]

In #Barcelona, ERC falls further behind in the latest seat projection based on the average of polls – remains close between Junts, PSC, BComú

🌹 PSC 10 (–)
🩵 Junts 10 (+1)
🟣 BComú 9 (–)
🔺 ERC 6 (-1)
🔵 PP 3 (–)
🟢 Vox 3 (–)

+/- w. May 14 projection

https://t.co/2rYltD6mGD