Pollfinity

Political polling, data aggregation, and election forecasting. Real numbers from real voters. Sign up to take our polls:

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY

Texas Senate: Talarico 48%, Paxton 43%. Brown (L) 2%, undecided 5%. Inside the margin.

Pollfinity Research | N=278 registered voters | Texas | Oct 15-18, 2026 | MoE ±6.5

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Democrats outperforming the state baseline in both races—a sign candidate quality matters in Ohio's lean-red terrain.

2026 Ohio Senate Race
🔵 Sherrod Brown: 48%
🔴 Jon Husted: 44%

2026 Ohio Governor Race
🔵 Amy Acton: 50%
🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy: 43%

Marist #A | LV | 10/18

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

@IsthmusPol Yes we are reading all the drama. We have a plan for our polls into 2028 cycle and beyond. We appreciate the best wishes , we will need them :)

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Democrat leads Republican by 7 in Ohio governor race — a 19-point gap from Trump's 2024 win in the state.

2026 Ohio Governor Race

🔵 Amy Acton: 50%
🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy: 43%

2024: Trump +12

Marist #A | 10/18

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

@TeamBettencourt @HarrisCountyRP Independents almost equal Republicans In this graph.

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Musk's favorability problem isn't a gender divide—it's a women problem. Men split 45-45; women reject him 29-55.

Elon Musk Favorability

🔵 Favorable: 37%
🔴 Unfavorable: 50%
Gender split:
• Men: 45% fav | 45% unfav
• Women: 29% fav | 55% unfav

YouGov #A | U.S. adults

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Wagner's seat is tighter than expected heading into final stretch

2026 Missouri House (MO-02)

🔵 Fred Wellman: 46%
🔴 Ann Wagner (Inc): 45%
🟡 Undecided: 10%

Public Policy Polling #B | LV | 10/20

(D-leaning firm)

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

@E_DataGuy In Florida, you have these results; what is the other? thats seems really high?

Identified Party Breakdown
🔵 Democrat743,821
🟣 Other373,639
🔴 Republican702,035

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

In Michigan's congressional races, anti-Trump motivation dwarfs pro-Trump motivation by nearly 3-to-1.

2026 Michigan Congress Vote

🔴 Vote against Trump: 45%
🔵 Vote for Trump: 17%
🟡 Trump not a factor: 37%

Marist #A | n=1,185 | Michigan registered voters | Oct 15-18, 2026

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

@CountyLineFcst Interesting! Thanks for sharing.

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Nearly two-thirds of Michigan voters say undocumented immigrants should have a legal pathway, not forced deportation.

Michigan Immigration Policy

🔴 Should be required to leave: 33%
🔵 Should have legal pathway if requirements met: 62%
⚪ Unsure: 1%

Marist Poll #A | n=1,185 | Michigan registered voters | Oct 15-18, 2026

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Early voting in Texas, From Votehub

[VoteHub @VoteHub]

Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 3

As of Oct. 21, 2026
Total votes: 2,249,055 (+803,777)
23.2% of projected final turnout.

Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 James Talarico: 45.8% - 55.0%
🔴 Ken Paxton: 42.8% - 52.0%

Day 3 was more red than Day 1 or Day 2. VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY:

Texas Senate Race 2026

🟢 James Talarico (D): 48%
🔴 Ken Paxton (R): 44%

Siena/ReconMR | n=617 | Likely Voters | Oct 5–8, 2026

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

If the 2026 Texas Senate election were held today, who would get your vote?

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Republican holds 8-point lead in Florida governor matchup, but the real story is buried in the crosstabs: majority of Latino voters say immigration enforcement has gone too far.

2026 Florida Governor Race

🔴 Byron Donalds: 50%
🔵 David Jolly: 42%

YouGov #A | n=825 | registered voters | Oct 2-15, 2026

Source: Univision

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Texas Side by side with recent polls.

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Democrat leads in Trump +12 Ohio with 3 weeks left. That's the real story here.

2026 Ohio Senate Race

🔵 Sherrod Brown: 48%
🔴 Jon Husted: 44%

2024: Trump +12

Marist University #A | n=1,176 | likely voters | Oct 15–18, 2026

[Political Polls @Politics_Polls]

*RV
https://t.co/1T9Csr3Z03

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

@taliesi_bard @Politics_Polls Ok , we are not tied to an outcome; if a Republican wins thats fine; if a Democrat wins also fine; if a Libertarian or Independent wins also fine. We just run the poll and deliver the data.

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

Texas Governor (D/R/L)

Emerson
🔵 Hinojosa 45 🔴 Abbott 49 🟡 Dixon 1
Fox
🔵 47 🔴 52
Pollfinity
🔵 46 🔴 45 🟡 2
CBS/YouGov
🔵 48 🔴 52
UH Hobby
🔵 46 🔴 49 🟡 2

Pollfinity MoE ±6.5. Fox/CBS include leaners.

[Pollfinity @pollfinity]

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY

Texas Senate: Talarico 48%, Paxton 43%. Brown (L) 2%, undecided 5%. Inside the margin.

Pollfinity Research | N=278 registered voters | Texas | Oct 15-18, 2026 | MoE ±6.5