Pollitik

We report timely, politically relevant research on executive approval.

[Ryan E Carlin @RyanECarlin1]

Should be a fun election to follow! Check @Pollitik_Lab’s prediction and subscribe to their free Substack newsletter

[Executive Approval Project @ExecApproval]

Fundamentals #forecast for #Chile elections based on 4 decades of elections in Latin America

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

https://t.co/c13va9cLQL

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

📣📈Our updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile 🇨🇱 presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the 🔗 below this post!

#ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

Big thanks to @gelliottmorris for joining us today to deliver our Fall 2025 Trajectory Talk. Follow his work @50plus1news & support his newsletter https://t.co/DKisdfLP8C

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

While we projected @MikieSherrill to win in #NewJersey, we undershot her vote shares by 6.8 points (the same amount as @50plus1news).

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅
📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost. 🙏

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

How did we do in #Virginia? Well...we missed high on Winsome-Earle's vote share +2.4.

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! 🔗in comment.

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅
📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost. 🙏

[Executive Approval Project @ExecApproval]

Great to see @Pollitik_Lab learning from the best in the biz! Thx @gelliottmorris!

[Ryan E Carlin @RyanECarlin1]

How cool is this?! 😎
Thanks, @gelliottmorris, for taking the time to visit @Pollitik_Lab!

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉
@gelliottmorris @50plus1news

[Executive Approval Project @ExecApproval]

The EAD at work!

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

https://t.co/Ua4buDDiKu

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

Latest #HoneymoonTracker shows mixed fortunes for new(ish) world leaders.
@_CStocker holds firm🇦🇹,@Bart_DeWever
is up🇧🇪, @prabowo 🇮🇩& @Jaemyung_Lee🇰🇷 lose early shine, @Claudiashein 🇲🇽 & @MarkJCarney ����🇦climb, @realDonaldTrump 🇺🇸rises from a low base. Take a look🔗 in comments!

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

https://t.co/o40qYn2zB3

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! 🔗in comment.

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

CRISIS SPOTLIGHT: Macron vs. Hollande - Two Presidents, One Economic Reality
France Fixed Jobs - but Broke its Politics
https://t.co/ryo0JrzuSL

#Macron #France #ApprovalWatch #Hollande #FrancePolitics

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

President Marcos Jr.'s Approval Continues its Decline and Shows the Unpopularity of Establishment Politics. #PhilippinePolitics #Marcos #BBM #PollsPH 🇵🇭📉

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

Subtack: https://t.co/vbMfaOCywE

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

Rate the takes: who’s hot in politics this month, who’s… not😬#BartDeWever is warming up in #Belgium while #AnthonyAlbanese in #Australia starts to cool down. Full story on our Substack in the replies.
@MorningConsult
@AlboMP
@Bart_DeWever
@ABCaustralia
@vrtnws