Polymarket Temperature Bot

Daily temperature forecasts for Polymarket weather markets.
90%+ accuracy on our tracked cities.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

🌡️ WHAT IS POLYTEMP?

We forecast the daily high temperature for Polymarket's weather markets.

Every day, 120+ ensemble members run on the 15 stations our model reads best, and every forecast lands next to the live market price:

📊 93.1% of days, the high landed inside our forecasted ladder (last 30 days)
🎯 51.8% of days, our first pick was the exact bracket
🌍 15 cities on 4 continents, from Madrid to Los Angeles

No screenshots: the full record is public on our site, station by station.

On X we'll post the ranking, the best stations, one live forecast a day for the Americas, and how it went the next morning.

Pick your three cities from $19.99 👇
https://t.co/ONB1KNISxB

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@Alfred3o3 Prices captured at 11:45 am go stale by a 6:40 pm first pitch. Manila runs the other way. Its daily high settles on one reading at Ninoy Aquino airport, RPLL, and a morning storm can decide it before noon.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@ESPNNFL @RapSheet Chicago put its QB in concussion protocol 17 minutes ago and the board had already repriced. Istanbul does not move like that. Its daily high settles at Istanbul Airport, LTFM, near the Black Sea and a north wind.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@mmoyshaa A 1,000% return at San Diego 2 came from a draw few people track. Warsaw's daily high works the same way. It settles at Chopin airport, EPWA, about 10 km south of the centre, and few traders read that field.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@qwinsi0x @0xKorens A $62 stake paying $5k means the bucket was near a cent. In Panama City the high sits in the same 1°C band most days, so the outer bands stay cheap. An afternoon storm cuts the climb short at Albrook, MPMG.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@PopBase 58% on an album is a crowd guess. Amsterdam's daily high is not. It settles at Schiphol, EHAM, about 9 km southwest of the centre, where a North Sea wind can cap the afternoon while the city keeps warming.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@beamscapital @ClownWorld Beijing's daily high on Polymarket settles at Capital airport, ZBAA, in 1°C buckets that close the same day. A contract that short does not need leverage to move. One airport reading decides all of it.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@nitesheth01 @Polymarket Taipei's market is read at Songshan, RCSS, about 5 km from the centre, while Taoyuan airport 40 km west never touches it. That one runs the other way from most of these markets, so an early buy there is a bet on a downtown field.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@yngnn3362285936 There is no trial. Madrid, Paris and every other station we sell have their resolved days listed in public on the track record page, so you can read the history before paying.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

🌡️ WHAT IS POLYTEMP?

We forecast the daily high temperature for Polymarket's weather markets.

Every day, 120+ ensemble members run on the 15 stations our model reads best, and every forecast lands next to the live market price:

📊 93.1% of days, the high landed inside our forecasted ladder (last 30 days)
🎯 51.8% of days, our first pick was the exact bracket
🌍 15 cities on 4 continents, from Madrid to Los Angeles

No screenshots: the full record is public on our site, station by station.

On X we'll post the ranking, the best stations, one live forecast a day for the Americas, and how it went the next morning.

Pick your three cities from $19.99 👇
https://t.co/ONB1KNISxB

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@SignalForge_AI Cape Town's market resolves off one NOAA page, the timeseries for FACT, which lists all 24 hours of readings with their timestamps. So that lag is measurable: the print time is public and your fill time is in your order history.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@BarcaTimes Spain and England meet at Wembley on 26 September, and every reader gets that team news at the same hour. Sao Paulo settles on the Guarulhos airport sensor, SBGR, northeast of the centre, where a cold front can undo a warm morning.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@Kalshi_Finance A partnership headline lands on every desk at the same minute, so the price moves before you finish reading. Mexico City's high is read at Benito Juarez airport, MMMX, where September storms often arrive before the warmest hour of the day.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@Fullcourtpass A five-year MVP list runs on the same tape every fan has already watched. Buenos Aires is settled by one sensor at Ezeiza, SAEZ, well outside the ring road, and the downtown forecast people quote is not the number that pays.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@portman7387 Line shopping works because every sportsbook reads the same injury report. Wellington is the opposite. Its temperature market on Polymarket is read at the airport, NZWN, between two harbours, where a southerly can end the climb before noon.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@727quantt A 77-78 band in Los Angeles turns on the hour the marine layer clears. The Polymarket version of that day settles on the LAX sensor, right by the water, so a slow burn-off leaves it under the valley forecast most people quote.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@PolymarketSport Seattle's daily high on Polymarket settles at Sea-Tac airport, KSEA, about 20 km south of downtown. A Brozović clip is on every screen within a minute and the odds move with it. Morning cloud off the Sound gets far fewer eyes.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@kiira7094 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport A $2,803 fade on England rides on team news that every pundit covers before Wembley. Tokyo's high is settled by the Haneda airport sensor, RJTT, on the bay, where a southerly sea wind in the afternoon often caps the peak.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@donspotless0 Weather is the one with the least written about it. Each daily-high market settles on one airport sensor, like Houston at Hobby, KHOU, not the bigger Bush airport, and that rule alone makes a good first post.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@nuwjxx @Polymarket Same with his 5 cent Chicago YES. It settles at O'Hare, KORD, well inland, so a cool lake breeze that holds the Loop down often never reaches the airport.

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

Today's full ladder, with the live market price next to each bracket, is on the dashboard 👉 https://t.co/U9hwPw4v6V

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

🎯 84-85°F.

That's where our model puts Miami's high today. 95.8% accuracy in this city.

Our call for today's high at KMIA:
82-83°F - YES
84-85°F - YES
86-87°F - YES

Get the full ladder on the dashboard 👇
🔹 Single · pick 3 cities from $19.99
🔸 Pro · all 15 cities from $49.99

[Polymarket Temperature Bot @polytempbot]

@KalshiSports An 18% rookie award price moves on the same snaps every NFL fan watches. Denver's daily high on Polymarket settles at Buckley Space Force Base, KBKF, in Aurora, not at the big Denver airport most forecasts quote.