Ekaterina Postnikova

Специальный корреспондент международного отдела РБК || Special diplomatic correspondent at @ru_rbc

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Чем закончилась главная в мире конференция по ядерному оружию || Страны должны были принять итоговый документ, но этого не произошло из-за конфликта США и Ирана

https://t.co/NpHTZN8Ujz

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Как и зачем Москва и Минск проводят учения с ядерным оружием || Это третьи маневры после размещения в Белоруссии российского тактического арсенала

https://t.co/ytYm7TkDa8

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

... However, this should not be interpreted as automatically obligating them to bear the moral and political costs of the state of affairs within the NPT. Such costs, as well as responsibility for the fate of the treaty, fall equally on all states parties".

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

В МИДе назвали задачи России на Обзорной конференции ДНЯО

https://t.co/OjQ3lQf9td

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Ambassador Belousov: "At the same time, one cannot deny that nuclear powers, possessing strategic arsenals and advanced nuclear technologies, bear a special responsibility for implementing the key provisions of the NPT. ...

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

«ДНЯО в сложном положении, но пока не в критическом». || Международные эксперты — о задачах конференции по нераспространению ядерного оружия

https://t.co/6vqE8RFApl

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

A brief preview of the 11th NPT Review Conference:

Чего ждать от главной мировой конференции по ядерному оружию || Две предшествующие конференции ДНЯО завершились без итоговых коммюнике

https://t.co/CdujbV15Fq

[Dmitry Stefanovich @KomissarWhipla]

So, new nuclear crisis for the weekend? Some thoughts.

1. "Nuclear submarines" can refer to any type of nuclear submarine based on American terminology - SSN, SSGN, SSBN.

2. There is no need to worry too much about Trump's statements. After all, in 2017, for example, he also claimed that he had sent two nuclear submarines to the Korean peninsula in connection with Pyongyang's nuclear and missile activities. Perhaps he is laying the groundwork for a summit with Vladimir Putin.

3. The main problem here is the continuing practice of sending nuclear signals via social media. This is a highly questionable approach, but unfortunately, it has already become established.

4. The analogy with the Caribbean crisis is inappropriate here, primarily because, regardless of the relative positions of one, two, five or even ten nuclear submarines, the United States and Russia remain in a state of mutual vulnerability and mutual nuclear deterrence.

5. Speaking of the submarines l, the main question is what kind of ships we are talking about. Ohio-class submarines can reach Russia from virtually anywhere, and perhaps Trump's signal is that there will be several more of them on combat patrol. Which, by the way, is a more traditional method of sending nuclear signals.

6. The most provocative action could be the deliberate and overt positioning of American SSBNs in locations from which they could strike Russian territory along a so-called depressed trajectory with minimal flight time.

7. As for SSGNs, it is possible that we are seeing a kind of "reverse" scenario, similar to the Russian leadership's announcement of Russian hypersonic weapon platforms patrolling near the American coasts in response to the threat of US INF-range ground-based missiles appearing near our borders. At the same time, Trump is unlikely to actually consider a strike with precision long-range non-nuclear weapons on targets in Russia.

8. We cannot rule out the intensification of American SSN activities to detect and track our SSBNs directly by the bases of the Northern and Pacific Fleets.

9. Overall, the Russian Navy is not in the best condition, and a few additional American nuclear submarines will not change anything.

10. The impact on strategic stability can be assessed after understanding what has been sent and where, but in general, it is unlikely that there will be any critical consequences.

11. How much time will it take to fulfill the announced actions, again, the question is what exactly Trump wants. In principle, he can simply order several Ohio-class submarines to surface in designated areas and remind everyone that they are there and ready.

12. Let me repeat and emphasise that all these actions can hardly be called unique; rather, it is the reason for them that is surprising.

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Чем грозит решение Трампа переместить атомные подлодки в ответ Медведеву

https://t.co/UTrPYuOCmE

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Замгенсека ООН: «Архитектура ядерного разоружения оказалась в кризисе»

https://t.co/JhgjyWIz89

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Что будет представлять собой противоракетный «Железный купол» Трампа || Пентагон должен представить план его создания к концу марта

https://t.co/fIVR3dnH9A

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Смогут ли Путин и Трамп передоговориться об ограничении ядерных арсеналов || Последний двусторонний договор в этой сфере истекает через год

https://t.co/X60jkBk8Se

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

In this regard, the UN should become a leader in shuttle diplomacy: backroom dealing, nonterminating dialogue, persuasion (not begging) - result-oriented, the UN should transparently use all the legal instruments, not hiding anything from any side of potential conflict.

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

Honored to be among among those who contributed to the book "Liberating the United Nations" by Professor Richard A. Falk and Hans von Sponeck published by Stanford University Press: https://t.co/OK8te7Kgbq.

[Ekaterina Postnikova @postnikovakatya]

In my view, the UN has enough resources to play a role of global mediator - a "global trader". UN experts are present in almost every country of the world; they have access to national decision-makers, know their regions and, thus, can assess the perspectives of armed conflicts.