@CelcomDigi
I’m really disappointed with you. You plead me to change and upgrade my plan, I did, but when things screwed up, you ignored me and close my ticket. This is really a bad service from you. I’m with you for the past 16 years…
Charlie Kirk has passed away at the age of 31.
A husband, a father of two, and a man of God. He completely reshaped our country and had so much ahead of him.
Gut-wrenching. Rest in peace, Charlie.
Some thoughts after yesterday’s job report and market reaction.
Ahead of the 2001 recession, late-2000 NFP reports signaled labor market weakness. The November release showed just 35,000 jobs added, far below expectations during the dot-com bust.
While markets briefly rallied on hopes of Fed action, the emergency 50-basis-point cut in January 2001 only confirmed recession fears, driving the S&P 500 down nearly 12% in Q1 and into a prolonged bear market.
A similar pattern emerged before the Great Recession. The August 2007 NFP showed a surprise loss of 4,000 jobs versus expectations of +110,000, sparking an initial sell-off followed by a rally on Fed cut bets.
The Fed delivered a 50-basis-point cut in September, briefly lifting markets. But as credit stresses deepened, further easing failed to prevent losses, and the S&P 500 plunged 37% in 2008.
In 2025, the August NFP echoed these episodes. Only 22,000 jobs were added versus a 75,000 forecast, while unemployment climbed to 4.3%, a four-year high.
Markets initially rallied as traders priced in a September Fed cut with 86% odds for a rate cut.
In short, buy the rate cut anticipation, sell the news.
Now we do not need to crash, that’s not the point. The main idea is that a weakening economy/job market, while the easing expectations increase, expands the premium paid for assets, often until it’s fully priced in when the cut happens.
Technicals often lead fundamentals, especially off tops and bottoms.
In recent memory, leaders $PLTR $COIN $HOOD $HIMS $NBIS started their stock price advances well ahead of their fundamentals rapidly improving.
If technicals are pointing up or down, fundamentals likely follow.
Thought of the day - Discipline
If your trading system is the framework, then discipline is the glue that holds it all together.
It’s not a flashy skill. It doesn’t get the attention that setups or entries do. But discipline is what shows up when you’re tempted to bend the rules — and quietly keeps you on track.
It’s what stops you from giving a trade “just a little more room” after your stop gets tagged.
It’s what keeps you from revenge trading after a loss, or randomly doubling your size because the last one worked.
It’s what tells you: no, this isn’t your setup — step aside.
Discipline isn’t something you lean on only when things are going well.
It’s something you practice when you’re tired, frustrated, or tempted to do something you know you shouldn’t.
Because the truth is — your process only works if you follow it. And the trader who shows up with discipline, day after day, will outlast the one chasing perfection every time.
Let your discipline do the heavy lifting. That’s how consistency is built.
This is 10x more effective than any podcast you are going to listen to. Don't spend two hours running from the work you need to do.
Weekend homework for traders 📚💹
Want an edge? Start here. A 4-week chart review routine to build your own backtesting engine — no fluff, just process. 🧵
1. Start with a scan. Look for stocks that meet all of these:
• 1-week % change > +20%
• Market cap > $20M
• 10-day avg volume > 100K shares
You want real moves. Real liquidity. Real stories.
2. Once you’ve got your list — isolate the ignition day.
That’s the candle where the move really began.
Volume spike. Range expansion. News.
Circle it. That’s the heartbeat of the move.
3. Now go dig up the catalyst:
• Was it earnings?
• A contract win?
• FDA approval?
• AI rumor?
• Macro sympathy?
Label it. Bookmark the article.
You’re collecting cause and effect.
4. Track the stock’s performance:
• 3 days after ignition
• 5 days after
• 1 month after
You’re not chasing the news — you’re studying the follow-through.
5. Do this every weekend for 4 weeks straight.
You’ll start to notice patterns:
• Which catalysts have legs?
• Which fizzle fast?
• Which sectors are repeat offenders?
6. This is the foundation of backtesting.
You’re building intuition from real data — not random YouTube setups.
Themes will emerge. Playbooks will write themselves.
7.Bonus tip: Log it all.
Make a spreadsheet or Notion doc:
• Ticker
• Date
• Catalyst
• Entry candle
• % move
• Notes on price action
You’re building a personal database of edge.
8. Most traders don’t lose from lack of passion — they lose from lack of structure.
This is structure.
Take 90 mins each weekend and watch your conviction transform.
—
If you found this helpful, share it with a trading friend.
And remember: Edge is earned. 🧠📈
My number one piece of advice for new and aspiring traders is to focus on what you can control and disregard everything outside of your control. Focusing on tariffs, trumps next tweet, geopolitical events, or random headlines has rarely moved the needle in my portfolio. Instead focus on: How you locate the leading stocks. Study your entry tactics. Your timing of entries in healthy environment. Focus on position sizing and using progressive exposure. This subtle shift in mindset starts to propel performance far more than thinking about anything you cannot control.
Strong momentum:
S&P 500 rallied from -13% below its 200 day moving average to +3% above it.
Stocks tend to go higher over the following months.
h/t @mark_ungewitter
All of the billboards in Times Square were shut off and then lit up with the true meaning of Christmas:
The birth of Jesus Christ
The mainstream media censored this! Let's make it go VIRAL!
1-Che Det become PM twice.
2- with different party
3-deputy PM is a woman
4-youngest person to won election (22 y.o)
5-BN become opposition
6-BN defeated by a polling made in mid-week. (wedneday).
7-Msia unite more than ever.
Good day to be alive.