β Chief Global Market Strategist at Invescoβ β β β β β β - @BrianLevitt shares his framework for analyzing market cycles.
Valuation is not a timing tool. A high P/E can tell you future 10-year returns may be lower. But it does not tell you the cycle is breaking today. Instead he focuses on:
1 - Credit spreads.
2 - Bank lending standards.
3 - Fed policy.
4 - The dollar.
5 - Inflation expectations.
6 - Leverage.
If credit isnβt cracking, the market may be expensive but the cycle isnβt necessarily over.
From @TheCompoundNews via PodReport.
https://t.co/ArQzSZeOAu