Futures arenβt just leverage, theyβre powerful diversification tools. Their capital efficiency makes it easier to build portfolios across truly uncorrelated asset classes, helping smooth volatility and improve risk-adjusted returns.
βYou are a surfer. You are sitting on your board, waiting. You cannot control the ocean. You cannot summon a wave.
But when the wave comes whether it's a small ripple or a 50-foot monster, you paddle. You stand up. You ride it.β
@Covel
Discussing why a stockβs price rose or declined is like playing blackjack and trying to justify why the next card is what it is. No one knows why. Just get in when the odds are favorable and get out when theyβre not. There is no wisdom in thinking and discussing about βwhyβ.
Comparing this with long term trend following
If done properly can achieve a 20% CAGR
Live in dubai for 0% capital gains tax
Inflation of 3% as returns are in dollar terms
1.2^25 -> 95x
1.03^25 -> 2x
95/2 -> 47.5x in 25 years
The gap is greater than 10x. Thatβs huge
1.12^25 =17x
17x your money in 25 years with index and mutual funds!
Sounds amazing⦠until you adjust for reality.
After 12.5% capital gains tax -> 15x
After 5% inflation -> 4.4x
4.4x real growth multiple in 25 years.
I have heard so many well known wealthy investors who have exceptional careers in the stock market talk about many stocks that they bought but sold after a 5-10x return and had they held those stocks the return would have been 100-200x. No one knows about the opportunity until itβs gone
Solution?
Follow the trend till you die if the trend continues
Most investors/traders optimize for expected return.
But wealth grows at geometric return.
Example:
+50%
β50%
Final capital = 0.75
Geometric return = β0.75 β 1 β β13.4% per period
Arithmetic average = 0%
Reality = β25% total
Losses compound faster than profits.
AI will transform education, but only if we pair it with structure, rigor, and real quality control. Iβm building something that makes this transformation actually work.