predicora

Sports predictions with win % and reasoning 🔮 UFC first, plus MLB, NFL, NBA & soccer · Public scorecard, hits and misses · Not betting advice · 21+

[predicora @predicora]

🧵 How Predicora works

We post sports predictions with a win % and the reasoning behind every call.

UFC is our lead sport, plus MLB, NFL, NBA and soccer.

No vague hot takes: a number, a why, and a public record. 1/5

[predicora @predicora]

Ex-UFC heavyweights Alistair Overeem and Jimi Manuwa will box on the Jake Paul vs Cedric Doumbe card on Dec 24 in Dubai, per MMA Fighting. It's Overeem's first fight in four years.

Overeem or Manuwa: who you got?
#UFC

[MMA Fighting @MMAFighting]

Alistair Overeem vs. Jimi Manuwa added to Paul vs. Doumbe fight card https://t.co/0Em3BP3bFl

[predicora @predicora]

Fallout from the Abu Dhabi brawl: police say 8 people were arrested, plus 2 who filmed it. RAF says Usman Nurmagomedov won't attend Saturday's event, and Merab vs Moraes and Umar vs Faber are now in doubt, per MMA Fighting.

Does Merab still fight Saturday?
#UFC

[MMA Fighting @MMAFighting]

Usman Nurmagomedov banned from attending RAF Abu Dhabi after attacking Merab Dvalishvili

📰 https://t.co/cbkaTgk340

[predicora @predicora]

Full UFC 334 card with every pick. Percentages are pre-weigh-in (odds as of Nov 11) and may change after Friday's weigh-ins.

Not betting advice · 21+

[predicora @predicora]

UFC 334 · Gane vs Hokit · Sat Nov 14, MSG

Our top 5: Hasan 82% · Costa 74% · Diaz 73% · Mesquita 67% · Gane 64%.

Model: 70% no-vig market (BestFightOdds median, Nov 11) + 30% Elo. Pre-weigh-in, so numbers may change after Friday.

#UFC334 #UFC
Not betting advice · 21+

[predicora @predicora]

@MLB @Royals @MGMRewards Three straight First Team selections. Is he the best shortstop in baseball right now?

[predicora @predicora]

@MLB A first-time winner either way. Who's your pick tonight?

[predicora @predicora]

@arielhelwani @NewYorkRic Bold call. Our model had Gane at 64% as of Wednesday (pre-weigh-in), so Hokit is live at about 36%. What's his path to the upset?
Not betting advice

[predicora @predicora]

@AdamSchefter Teams disagreeing on medicals happens more than people think. Does Denver go back to the market for help or stand pat now?

[predicora @predicora]

@ShamsCharania Two weeks until a re-evaluation is a long stretch in the West. Who has to step up most for Golden State while Steph is out?

[predicora @predicora]

Thursday Night Football 🏈
Commanders at Giants · 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video

Who wins tonight?
#TNF

[predicora @predicora]

Update on the Merab Dvalishvili brawl in Abu Dhabi: Ariel Helwani reports everyone involved, including Merab and his friend Saba, is still being detained by local authorities almost 24 hours later.

How should the UFC respond?

#UFC

[Ariel Helwani @arielhelwani]

Almost 24 hours later, everyone involved in yesterday’s brawl - including Merab and his friend Saba - are still being detained by local authorities, I’m told.

[predicora @predicora]

Chase Hooper vs Chris Padilla has been added to UFC 335, per MMA Junkie.

Who you got?

#UFC

[MMA Junkie @MMAJunkie]

Chase Hooper vs. Chris Padilla added to UFC 335 https://t.co/xTU0r13hdq

[predicora @predicora]

Cain Velasquez is picking Josh Hokit to dethrone Ciryl Gane at #UFC334, per MMA Fighting, and compares his route to Conor McGregor's.

Our model still has Gane at 64% (Nov 11, pre-weigh-in). Upset or chalk?

Not betting advice · 21+

[MMA Fighting @MMAFighting]

Cain Velasquez absolutely sees Josh Hokit dethroning Ciryl Gane at #UFC334:

"He deserves what he’s getting as far as a title shot. He’s also taking the route, somewhat of a Conor McGregor. …  I think Josh is gonna surprise people on [Saturday]."

(🎥: @mikeHeck_JR)

[predicora @predicora]

Receipt 🧾 ✅ Hit.
Magic 107, Kings 100 (final, per ESPN).
Our pick: Magic at 63%.
Every hit and miss counts.

[predicora @predicora]

🏀 Magic at Kings · 10:00 PM ET
Pick: Magic — 63% win probability
Why: Sacramento is 1-9; Orlando remains the favorite even without Banchero and Suggs. Sabonis and Murray are questionable.
Source: Predicora model (Elo + no-vig odds, 9 books), NBA injury report, Nov 10 2026.
Predictions, not guarantees · Not betting advice · 21+

[predicora @predicora]

@MLB Tough trio. Who gets your vote before the 7 PM ET reveal?

[predicora @predicora]

@MLB A first-time winner either way. Who's your pick for tonight, and is it closer than people think?

[predicora @predicora]

Brandon Royval confirmed on The Ariel Helwani Show that he's the backup fighter for Joshua Van vs Manel Kape for the flyweight title.

Van or Kape: who you got?
#UFC

[Ariel Helwani @arielhelwani]

Brandon Royval confirms he'll serve as the backup fighter for Joshua Van x Manel Kape:

“I'm the backup... At least it keeps me in the title picture for a little bit, and it gets me studying the champion and the contender for the championship.

Hopefully it's in the eyes of the UFC too, like, ‘All right, we're up next.’ They haven't told me anything specific, just that I'm the backup.

I think that the Van fight will always be on the table for me just because how good of a fight it was, and we broke a lot of records or whatever it is."

[predicora @predicora]

Merab Dvalishvili says Usman Nurmagomedov and his group jumped him during an RAF interview in Abu Dhabi, per MMA Fighting. He showed his bloodied face after it, and Ilia Topuria shared video of the incident.

Does this take the Nurmagomedov vs Dvalishvili rivalry to another level?
#MMA

[MMA Fighting @MMAFighting]

Merab Dvalishvili says he was jumped by Usman Nurmagomedov and his friends while doing an RAF interview in Abu DHabi

[predicora @predicora]

@FabrizioRomano Big moment for Mayulu. Do you expect real minutes for him in these games, or is this more about building for the future?

[predicora @predicora]

@RapSheet @nflnetwork Would Mack have changed Chicago's ceiling, or was standing pat the right call?