Pressley Altman

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@Peregrino1708 @Spybef0rey0ubuy I am in MSTR puts expiring December already up 20-30% I think it drops hard soon as bitcoin retraces to 76k.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@DeItaone $AMSC is still cheap load on up

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@L3495397565445 @Spybef0rey0ubuy more of a 2028/2029 play to be honest. ENVX/AMPX are the ones to own in that space in 2027.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@BillyLoBue @StealthQE4 Don’t forget drug costs, national security, near shoring, critical supply chains, drug trafficking of fentanyl nearly eradicated, leveled playing field on tariffs globally, the list goes on.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

Yes yes this dude is cleaning up a 40yr mess of supply chain problems, confronting the near nuclear Iran, got us all the oil from Venezuela, stripped Chinas clutch on the Panama Canal, got us sovereign military and mining rights FOREVER in Greenlandeith veto powers. He sucks. Lasting inflation is mostly from refinery destruction in Ukraine and Russia which is driving up diesel prices regardless of the price of oil, and well of course the lack of refinery capacity in the US bc Biden and Dems highly incentivized shutting these refineries down without putting infrastructure in for a replacement. Does he shoot off at the mouth yes, could he do better yeah, but worst ever nah.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@rdd147 Where is your source for this list and does it have more than just 25 would be interested in the top 100 or 250. And of course a credibility search on where the risk profiles are pulled from.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

So let me get this straight, you think that in 3-6 months yields on the 10-yr are going from 5.25% to below 3%, then within 2.5yrs after that back up towards 10%?

So basically you are calling for a violent and I mean VIOLENT economic regime shift followed immediately by a severe structural debt problem.

For yields to collapse from 5.25% down below 3% in just a couple of quarters, the economy cannot merely experience a soft landing; it requires a severe growth shock or a cascading financial panic.

Employment data would have to crater, consumer spending stall, and corporate earnings roll over violently. Causing Fed to chase with cuts then that to lead to sovereign debt crisis

Very very unlikely in that short period of time but I guess possible, you would likely need to see a hard earnings miss by the Mag 7 on Oct 27-29th right after a rate hike on the 27th to get a party like this started lol.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@NotA_Bull $SPXU

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@jimcramer IF oil goes down
IF we get more weak data lending to no hikes

Then

Severely suppressed bonds like the TLT could rally.

lol thanks genius this is the most captain obvious statement ever and if both these things don’t happen simultaneously he’ll say “see told you so”.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@Kush__Patil If the demand for compute is so staggering why aren’t they using this money to build more capacity instead of doing share buybacks?

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@dividendology No midstream natural gas? Not all are S&P but an entire etf $MLPA sitting at 7% yield with major tailwinds is pretty damn juicy.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

Ooooh ooooh this is a fun game that I saw coming over a year ago!!

Now break it into age groups and do sub 30 and do it for credit cards, student loans and car payments. Then look and see how much of this debt this exact demographic is carrying on a weighted scale and how little actual equity they have as the median 1st time homeowner is older than this so they have no home equity! It’s terrifying.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@NotJanetYellen7 @MPelletierCIO lol, maybe if refineries were still getting destroyed but otherwise hell no

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@henrytheduff @MPelletierCIO Not enough refinery capacity for oil to surge higher. The problem that is causing diesel crack spreads to be so high is also capping physical demand on oil.

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@growthrapidly $AMSC

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@FinanceLancelot @WilfredFrost https://t.co/4clqwRPTyz

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

Italy’s YoY PPI just jumped from 7.8% to 10.9%. Cracks in the global economy are becoming severe and the diesel prices are hitting some European countries hard… keep an eye on Germany and France next. With already slowing economies and rising inflation, we could see a shockwave through European banking systems before we see it in the US.

European banks hold a massive amount of sovereign debt this could cause their yields to blow out even more and if spending slows in Europe that is around 30% of megacap hyperscalers revenue market, not to mention US financial institutions hold counterparty exposure to European banks.

This is a Jenga piece that if pulled would make markets correct and hard. Keep an eye on Europe!

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

@FinanceLancelot @WilfredFrost https://t.co/ifZ3xSGDge

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

The Market IS the economy. If we experience a big enough pullback we will go into a RICHCESSION.

- 40% of all household wealth is in equities
- Top 10% owns almost 95% of equities
- Same cohort owns over 50% of all corporate and private equity
- same cohort is almost 50% of all consumer spending

Market pulls back enough for them to slow their spending and boom. “Richcession”

[Pressley Altman @PressleyAltman]

Italy’s YoY PPI just jumped from 7.8% to 10.9%. Cracks in the global economy are becoming severe and the diesel prices are hitting some European countries hard… keep an eye on Germany and France next. With already slowing economies and rising inflation, we could see a shockwave through European banking systems before we see it in the US.

European banks hold a massive amount of sovereign debt this could cause their yields to blow out even more and if spending slows in Europe that is around 30% of megacap hyperscalers revenue market, not to mention US financial institutions hold counterparty exposure to European banks.

This is a Jenga piece that if pulled would make markets correct and hard. Keep an eye on Europe!