Writing weekly allows me the chance to recap my prior notes.
In a previous note I had attempted to explain how do stock prices move up when rate hikes are on table and this note explains why prices go up when rates go down!
https://t.co/S2zuI545Ll
@karpathy OMG I just loaded the page and was blown away by the first recommendations. The page loads superfast, without all the spammy ads everywhere and each video recommendation on home page has a super interesting title! can totally see me spending my afternoon on this page!
It’s likely going to be a historic day today.
The last time $QQQ went below $700 was on 3Aug
This is after we hit ATH on 6Oct.
Can any Disney park roller coaster beat this?
This is the doom I predicted a few days ago, coming for Photoshop. A clean-room open-source reimplementation.
No prizes for guessing that they decompiled Photoshop to source code, processed that to some kind of non-code specification language, then fed the spec to an LLM with an instruction to generate Rust.
Adobe just got nuked. And closed source is dead, dead, dead.
https://t.co/0sxtGNaPtq
@mark_woodworth Every attempt at YCC ends badly with the bond market blowing up.
It did with Operation Twist in the 1960s, Japan now, and Australia in 2021.
Can we bring this one back please? The rising rates environment is not nearly talked about enough.
Especially with a tsunami of capex spending fueled by debt on top of largest peacetime US Gov fiscal deficits
Further, this is the main reason for the increase. Does anyone think this will stop rising so fast? Or does the balance of probability lean towards velocity going vertical from here?
+5% increase in a month is crazy!
This week's note signifies a 12% target return hit for the year, which also means anything more generated this year till 31Dec26 is for me to keep as savings. Turns out, you can make good money in markets even without beating the index.
https://t.co/qiKIziFI64
Further, this is the main reason for the increase. Does anyone think this will stop rising so fast? Or does the balance of probability lean towards velocity going vertical from here?
+5% increase in a month is crazy!
BREAKING: US M2 money supply jumped +$124.9 billion in August, to a record $23.34 trillion.
This marks the 28th consecutive monthly increase, totaling +$2.61 trillion.
YoY, M2 grew +5.7%, its largest YoY increase since June 2022.
This marks a sharp acceleration from +2.0% YoY growth seen in August 2024.
Meanwhile, since the 2020 pandemic, M2 money supply has surged +$7.85 trillion, equivalent to +$1.21 trillion on average per year, or +6.5% annualized growth.
US money creation is picking up speed.
Now that the short lived relief is over, do we continue seeing the 10yr push towards 5.5%?
What else needs to break before yields come down? Or is that not going to happen anytime soon?
Bernstein: Many of India's large caps represent a "bygone economic era"
Foreign institutional investors will return to trade, but have "little reason" to invest in India
Rate hikes … more in pipeline … but the market still rallied? $QQQ
Time to get 'real' and move into real assets vs paper claims.
I write about my next moves in last quarter of the year in this week's note at the link below.
https://t.co/Bc0wSTkuMV
It is incredible to note that $QQQ has now hit 20%+ returns YTD.
This in a year no one will call “ordinary”
It truly, is the world of owners - investors. If you are still exchanging labor and time for wages, the world is increasingly moving out of reach for you.
Whenever any 'financial expert' tells you to diversify globally and hedge your risks, or that it is better to have exposure to emerging markets since 'US is spent'
show them this chart
and ask them to follow @KobeissiLetter, he provides more value for free than paid accts!
@hmarksofficial It is so heartening to see my own layman interpretations fall somewhat in the same ball park as the read from one of history's greatest.
It always pays to observe and learn from the best, since by copying them, over time, I ended up raising my own game leaps and bounds!
This past two days pricing melt-up allowed me to complete a few more rounds of options wheeling. I wrote about it on my substack as a
"Trading update - 22Sep26" https://t.co/cHLhZCCJSx