probabilism

Building @ScorelyGG

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@andr3w another reason why prediction markets shouldn’t be treated as a substitute for sportsbooks.

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@PopPunkOnChain @pumpcade What data provider are you guys using for sports markets?

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@blknoiz06 lmao tell me about it

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@0xMerp meh price action doesnt rlly mean anything..

XMR was trading @ $100 after it got delisted from Binance in 2024

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oops. liquidated in ~5 mins.

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just opened a zcash long.. maybe i shouldve shorted instead.

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just opened a zcash long.. maybe i shouldve shorted instead.

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@alex_hunter20 sol winning

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one of my german friends who owns *legal* weed factories in germany / switzerland always had this thesis that btc will eventually go to $300k, but everyone has to get rekt in the process first.

maybe his thesis is why these market conditions don’t affect me.

[chase @therealchaseeb]

everyone selling everything now. hell yeah!

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@Shaughnessy119 @Apple friend of mine does, need a referral?

[Scorely @ScorelyGG]

Today, Arnaldi bettors felt something no bettor should ever feel.

Arnaldi was up 7-5, 5-2. The market had already moved heavily, with closing odds around -1000, implying roughly a 91% chance of winning.

Then his opponent retired.

In tennis, retirements are not some impossible edge case. ATP retirements happen in roughly 2% of matches, and men’s Grand Slam matches have historically been even higher.

That means the rules around settlement matter.

On most platforms, that bet gets voided.

On Scorely, bettors get paid out at closing odds.

This is the difference between a platform that treats settlement as fine print and a platform that treats it as part of the product.

Fairer rules. Cleaner outcomes. Better protection for users.

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@sirceen 😂😂

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Arnaldi closed around -1000.

On most platforms, Player 1 retires and your bet gets voided.

On Scorely, you get paid out at closing odds.

Better rules for bettors.

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@realRockyChung @Titan_Exchange ^^^^

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@blknoiz06 officially a community member :p

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@therealchaseeb need a gif of mert phasing through the wall

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@PopPunkOnChain @pumpcade W

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@ImperialAttila @ImperialPerps Pretty solid so far, but I still need to mess around with it a bit more to get a better feel for everything

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ok bottom is in, SEND IT!

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@ImperialAttila @ImperialPerps yessir tested it the other week

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@jarxiao should also add swaps from sol -> usdc, etc