probability god

YES Chad | Polymarket Tools

@vatic_trading

[probability god @probabilitygod]

in hindsight, shorting gold here was the most obvious play

[Marathon Fusion @MarathonFusion]

Last month, we demonstrated high-rate alchemy: turning mercury into real, stable gold, beating CERN’s record by a factor of 10.

Last week, we enriched isotopes in the world’s most powerful plasma centrifuge, beating the Soviet record that stood for 40 years.

Now, we’re building a fusion reactor in San Francisco to achieve record power density.

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@max777 wonder if outcome volume will count towards the airdrop allocation

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@KyleDeWriter which of these do u think it's most profitable to farm? entropy looks interesting considering it hasn't announced a system yet

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@0xd1namit even though they seem to have similar functionality, it seems that there's at least some kind of demand for products offering some small features. not to mention the airdrop promises or implications that are made during the early stages of each products.

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@Autonomous_Chad feels kinda brutal ngl

[probability god @probabilitygod]

love seeing hip-3 expanding its range of offered financial products.

the chinese market is huge, and the potential to both attract native speculators as well as international ones is massive.

eventually all tradfi products will be brought onchain either through perps or prediction markets

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@mini_boss_io lowkey i was thinking about getting no on it, i saw it around 25c, but didn't have enough conviction.

[probability god @probabilitygod]

Kimberly Guilfoyle is out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece.

The White House asked her to resign today and she confirmed it hours later. The Polymarket "out by Oct 31" market went from ~5% at the start of October to >99%.

How it unfolded:
> Oct 7 – WSJ: she allegedly asked a Trump donor to pay a $100K AmEx bill before her confirmation hearing, promising access. Story drops while Rubio is in Athens.
> More reports: gifts from Greek businessmen, a lobbyist in official meetings, a watchdog probe
> Oct 11 – AP: Trump & Rubio "extremely p*ssed off"
> Oct 12 – Trump: "we're looking at it"
> Oct 13 – WH asks her to resign. She resigns, denies everything.

Anyone holding Yes after the Oct 7 story printed.

Next question: who replaces her? Deputy Josh Huck runs the embassy for now, and nothing is expected before the Nov 3 midterms.

I've proposed a market for it on the Polymarket Discord

[probability god @probabilitygod]

https://t.co/6nBQcjsTSi

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@gavelsvtw big moves broski

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@unvint i wonder where they can find >$110m to compensate the users. seems impossible to me, but i wish the best for ppl affected.

having ur ledger exploited is truly nightmare stuff

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@0xd1namit @papertrade_xyz insane aura lowkey

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@gusik4ever it happens to me as well. i guess overthinking is the biggest enemy when it comes to posting. sometimes the simplest, most impulsive decision ends up being the more engaging and interesting

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@MickBransfield @Hypermind_com looks clean

[probability god @probabilitygod]

wonder if there's room for both products. i guess world would go down the more "retail friendly" prediction markets, while pascal would adjust their product based on the demands of whales and pro-ish traders.

personally i was really bullish on solana prediction markets last year due to the minimal settlement time offered by the blockchain architecture, but nothing remarkable came out thus far. it remains to see how pascal and worldxyz survive the industry

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@Vlad_Web3 @sharexyz looks like a really clean app

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@said116dao @predictdotfun let's see if they mange to do a successful tge. opinion labs couldn't keep demand up for its token, i wonder how pf will handle sell pressure

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@max777 let's hope it doesn't end up like this 🙏🙏

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@Atlantislq democrats winning the house seems like a bond atp. and the entry price at 90c is unironically a really good setup

[probability god @probabilitygod]

@smaaaaliy another 3-4 7+ earthquakes in 2.5 months seem like a lot. haven't really done any research about this market, but i think a no on 14-16 could look good here