TheProgressReport

If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Welcome to the new Twitter/X home of The Progress Report - a repository of tools and data for anyone interested in New Zealand politics. #nzpol

[henry cooke @henrycooke]

@FrankMcRae yes https://t.co/sKcSL4bndE (no paywall)

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Wairarapa (284) and Mt Roskill (1) both on tiny margins too, but both also have 10+ booths still to come in.

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Two seats on incredible knife-edges:
🔵 Ham East: Nat +81 with one booth left, Endeavour School, which Nat won by 189 in 2023. Should hold on the night. Might go on specials.
🟢 Wgtn Bays: Lab +124 over the Greens, but specials in Wgtn lean Green.
Both too close to call. #nzpol

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

@wjclawrence Currently ahead by 32 votes. Four more booths to report. I think they'll get it especially once specials come in.

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Labour have pulled ahead in Hamilton East - the Hillcrest Baptist Church Hall booth has just come in with a 12% swing towards Georgie Dansey. #nzpol https://t.co/8rcA9Zc50U

[henry cooke @henrycooke]

You can see live electorate results ordered by margin on our results page - which isn't pay-walled:

[henry cooke @henrycooke]

Hello and welcome to election night!

The Post will have live election results from every booth in the country + the best live blog.

We've matched 85% of the booths from the last election too so you can see in great detail the like-for-like swing, if there is any.

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

1. Wellington North
2. Wellington Bays
3. Mt Albert
4. Tāmaki
5. Christchurch Central
6. Kenepuru
7. Auckland Central
8. Waitakere
9. Hutt South
10. Mt Roskill

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Since the Parliamentary Library stopped updating their electorate profiles before the most recent boundary change, I've gone and done them myself, see here: https://t.co/HKThmvNJmC

I thought I'd take a quick look at my web traffic and see which have been the most popular...

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

1. Wellington North
2. Wellington Bays
3. Mt Albert
4. Tāmaki
5. Christchurch Central
6. Kenepuru
7. Auckland Central
8. Waitakere
9. Hutt South
10. Mt Roskill

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Found via The Progress Report Ad Tracker: https://t.co/9udKzl4qRA

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

In a very last ditch attempt, National have launched what I imagine are their first ever candidate-level YouTube ads in Epsom: https://t.co/BtcBv2DN19 #nzpol

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

I've rebuilt my NZ Political Ad Tracker from the ground up, hopefully you'll find it much easier to use. If you want to see what the parties and candidates are spending, take a look: https://t.co/BDxgA5mSdQ #nzpol

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Interesting list, disagree with a few things though. Particularly wouldn't be including Northcote, Takanini in the "safest seats" - if National has a bad night they'll flip. https://t.co/akJSpDQMh1 #nzpol

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

The Victorian Liberals continue to amaze with their lack of sophistication. They're running this anti-Labor ad in Kew and Hawthorn where their main opponents are Teal independents. #springst https://t.co/bnEgFEaoC1

[Tim Murphy @tmurphyNZ]

The Reid Research poll five weeks before the 2023 election had National at 40 percent.
This time, 25.9 percent.

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

New RNZ-Reid Research poll up on The Progress Report if you want to calculate who would get in on those numbers. https://t.co/1nhkhUIPKG #nzpol

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Booth voting will cost Auckland $31–40m, compared with about $16m for postal, and the evidence that it lifts turnout is thin. If we care about turnout, the conversation needs to be in Parliament, not the council chamber. https://t.co/7FdAcn4o9b

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Auckland Council has voted to bring back booth voting in 2028 to lift turnout. 2025 turnout was 29%, the lowest since the supercity began. But the international evidence says the voting method is a sideshow. The real lever is compulsory voting. 🧵 #nzpol https://t.co/DJvAaH4CLi

[TheProgressReport @ProgressRprt]

Across the Tasman: councils in NSW, where voting is compulsory, get 80%+ turnout. In WA, where it's voluntary, turnout is around 30%, and WA's minister is now looking at making it compulsory. https://t.co/OQWfmOO0o9