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8 PRIZEPICKS PLAYS IN A ROW β
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HE IS OVER IN 4 OF THE LAST 5 GAMES AT HOME π
PRIZEPICKS PLAY #1 π
ποΈ Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders
β¬οΈ Maxx Crosby Over 0.75 Sacks (-119)
Full explanation below π
HE IS OVER IN 9 OF HIS LAST 10 GAMES π
PRIZEPICKS PLAY #2 π
ποΈ New York Rangers @ Calgary Flames
β¬οΈ Tye Kartye Over 1.5 SOG (-119)
Full explanation below in comments π
OVER IN 88% OF GAMES WITHOUT PAOLO π
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ποΈ Orlando Magic @ Utah Jazz
β¬οΈ Wendell Carter Jr. Over 8.5 Rebounds (-119)
Full explanation below in comments π
We got 2 demons to cash on our last lotto, but it ended up going 3/6. Lets stop taking the underdogs, and go with the Golden Knights as favorites.
Marner is over in 9/L10 and over in 76% of games this season, plus it is a +EV play with sportsbooks pricing his over around -145.
We correlate that assist prop with a few SOG props on VGK that are also juiced over on other sportsbooks.
From there, we take the VGK-win script and fade UTA. Weegar and Sergachev are juiced to the under on other sportsbooks. Trocheck has gone under in 4/L5 on his FO line.
This is a lotto play and should be tailed for entertainment only. Like + follow if tailing π€
Over in 9 of his last 10 games. Coming off of a 6 SOG performance with 10 attempts. Over in 5 straight games on the road. Over in 58% of games overall this season averaging 1.8 SOG and 3.4 attempts. Over in 2 of 2 H2H games. CGY ranks 28th in SOG allowed.
The sportsbooks agree with the over. Hard Rock Bet has this over at -160 and Bovada has it at -145 implying a fair value around -130.
Like + follow if tailing π€
π’ BEST PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS 11/11
The highest probability PrizePicks Goblins on todayβs board, according to sportsbook odds π
Jalen Bonds Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-1020 DK)
TJ Horton Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-1020 DK)
Jalen Brunson Over 17.5 Points (-1000 CZ)
Nikola Jokic Over 17.5 Points (-1000 CZ)
Zion Williamson Over 14.5 Points (-1000 CZ)
Chance Morrow Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-990 DK)
Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Rebounds (-950 FD)
Messiah Burch Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-950 DK)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 23.5 Points (-950 CZ)
The lower the odds, the higher the implied probability that the prop hits π
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Over in 7 of 8 games this season without Paolo averaging 10.1 rebounds. Only under without Paolo was against the 6th best defense for rebounds allowed. Over in 3 of 3 games without Castleton playing. UTA ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed. Gobert just put up 15 boards against this defense a few days ago.
Line has been bouncing between 8.5 and 9.5 all morning. Bovada has this over at -160 implying a fair value around -140. All other sportsbooks are juiced over too.
Like + follow if tailing π€