@ohiain@ShakePryzby1 What a brillianr write up! Can u give some recent examples of stocks that exhibited this behavior before the blast off ? $ARM ? $MRVL ? $QCOM ? $PLTR ? Why doed $TSLA feel like a candidate that can show this ?
$ORCL
The big picture:
— $ORCL had a solid run from ~$100 in early 2024 to ~$200 by mid-2025,
— Went vertical in Sept 2025, gapping massively to ~$345 on the largest volume bar on the entire chart due to the OpenAI/Stargate cloud deal news.
— Classic blow-off — and like all parabolic moves, it needed to digest.
Digestion/ Downtrend
— 8-month correction from the Sept 2025 peak, $ORCL has been trapped inside a textbook descending channel
— Lower highs along the upper trendline, lower lows along the bottom rail, all the way down to ~$135 in March/April 2026.
—A roughly 60% drawdown from peak, which is a normal "give back" after that kind of vertical move.
Latest Update
—Yesterday was the breakout. Price closed at $203.70, up +6.67% on what looks like elevated volume
—Candle suggests it has broken decisively above the upper trendline of that 8-month descending channel
—Price is now above all four EMAs for the first time in months:
20 EMA: $187.43
50 EMA: $177.37
100 EMA: $178.63
200 EMA: $186.93 ← reclaimed
The EMAs are starting to stack in bullish order (20 > 200 cross is in motion)
Conclusion: Seems like the correction is ending a new uptrend could be beginning. Earnings on June 10th can be another catalyst.
$PLTR
Has been consolidating in a range with buyers above ~130$. Volume has been fading post the downtrend and consolidation and compression had been building
But yesterday it broke above the descending trendline and reclaimed the 20 and 50 EMA clearly and closed emphatically above resistance. I suspect with software getting a bid, there could be short covering+ momentum traders jumping back in+ a retest of the previous swing highs in a classic volatility squeeze breakout
I started a position yesterday. Follow me on savvy trader. Link below
https://t.co/feYhabwr0t
$SPY $QQQ $KWEB $BABA $BIDU $JD $NIO $SLV $GLD
RESET AND WAITING ON SIDELINES TO BUILD PORTFOLIO PATIENTLY
If you follow me on savvy trader you would have noticed 2 things:
- First, I sold out of most positions in the US market including my AI exposure. I had some really good profits that I wanted to take home and lock. I feel we are in the last leg of momentum rally led by AI and we will enter a period of lull in the coming few months. Whether, we will get a deep selloff or not I am unsure. But we are getting into uncertain territory with inflation sticky and inching up, potential job losses accelerating and the new Fed chair being tested. The US 10 year > 4.6% is far from great. I feel we will get some good opportunities to take advantage of in the coming months. The tickers I am most keen on are:
$AVGO $AMD $TSLA $ARM $MRVL $QCOM $BE $NBIS $APLD $IREN $MU $DRAM $NOK $BB $SLV $APP $RDDT $INTC $USAR $RKLB $PL $LITE $CIEN $AMZN $GOOG $ENPH $NET $CRWD $PANW $TSM $ALAB $CRDO $TE $AEHR $IONQ $EWY
- Second, My recent Chinese bets haven't worked out. None of the breakouts held. The Trump-Xi summit was a nothing burger. The recent data from China is bad as it signifies a slowdown. This had also raised hopes of a stimulus bit we do not know if and when it will come. The stocks are priced very cheap so the downside is not lot. But the market is out of momentum and things will remain slow until we get some positive macro/ economy news. I will decide how to play them in the coming days. May quit and move to cash
Overall verdict
- US, Korea, Taiwan and Japan continue to be the best markets
- China and India pressured due to oil and slowdown
- Entering summers where returns will be low, lull period in equities as inflation returns and unemployment inches up i.e. stagflation
- AI will remain hot but the stocks are priced very high. Will wait to enter some of them as they time correct
Stay Patient, Stay Nimble.!
$KWEB $BABA $BIDU $NIO $JD
Chinese names are starting to get interesting. If you follow me on savvytrader (link below), you will know i made some buys yesterday $BABA $NIO $JD :
https://t.co/feYhabwr0t
Technically charts are great for some of these names. $BABA had a breakout on the back of good volumes ( 3.5X average). While $JD a little extended short term post earnings, looks good to continue moving up over time.
$BIDU is looking great as well with a Double bottom formation ( chart attached) and $NIO is attempting a Cup and Handle breakout.
The hang seng index has been consolidating for last 8 odd months since September and has been rangebound. I guess the AI boost +Iran war solution + improving US- China relationship post Trump-Xi meet can set the market for a strong upmove.
$QQQ $SPY $BTC $SLV $GLD $MU
I intend to make some changes to my portfolio tonight. Well i have already made but i can only add to my Savvy trader once market opens. I think this inability to update savvy when market is not open shaves off close to 5-6% of YT portfolio performance or even more. Anyway the changes are:
- Sold 50% of my $MU position. Its now 13% of portfolio and i feel the run has been parabolic
- Sold 50% of my $BTC and . I diverted some of those into $COPX
- Added $META. Meta is too cheap to ignore for its financial performance. Capex fears are overblown and their distribution is insane. I have sufficient confidence they will get their ROI for their Capex. I intend to add $META if it falls to 550$ levels
- Raised Cash to 10%
@saur_agar7 Its not margin pressure. Solar cells margin > solar modules. So when they ramp up salea of modules of course blended margins will come down
$BTC $ETH $ETHU $BITX $IBIT $MSTR $BMNR
After the crypto winter we have been through, for the first time in many months, the PA is looking good. I feel more confident that better times ahead for BTC. It has been the most resilient asset in terms of price, all through the Iran war. I feel the the process of establishing a bottom is complete/ nearing completion ( as show in the chart below and the associate volume bars rangebound).
I will today book some profits in my equities portfolio and rotate into crypto assets
You can follow me on savvy trader to know my moves
https://t.co/feYhabwr0t
Been a while since I posted, but when I do, it counts.
If you entered when I did and positioned early, you’d be up ~16% in the past week and ~17.3% over the last month.
I’m very comfortable with how the portfolio is shaping up and plan to ride this uptrend.
Markets continue to shrug off negative data as they are forward looking and look set to move higher as earnings season picks up—barring any major surprises, as the war comes close to an end.
Key focus from here: AI capex trends and guidance from hyperscalers.
Follow my moves here:
https://t.co/feYhabwr0t
Hi all its been a while. I am back and I feel today is a good time to re deploy and buy. VIX almost 30 and mag 7s/ growth obliterated. Fear and Greed index at 19 extreme fear. Seems many are capitulating. All this makes me greedy. You can track my purchases on savvy trader but below are my buys;
$META $NVDA $SLV $IREN $NBIS $RKLB $ASTS $PL $HOOD $MU $AXON $APP $RDDT $BE $ONDS
Lets go!!