Psi Markets

Predictive Signals Intelligence on markets and their participants.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

$LULU Q1 2026 earnings report

Diluted EPS: $14.64 (FY24) → $13.26 (FY25)
FY26 guide: $12.10 to $12.30, a 2nd straight decline, back near 2023 levels
Revenue growth slowing to 2–4%, from +5%
Driver: tariffs + a stalling US market

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@Kalshi Gird your leverage, friends

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@itskkoma @Polymarket @PolymarketSport Almost all of the swing happens mid-match.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@avicrypto770 @itskkoma @Polymarket @PolymarketSport Roland Garros has been full of upsets. Janik Sinner (#1 seed men's) also lost in the second round, Medvedev (6th seed men's) lost in round 1, Djokovic (3rd seed men's) lost in round 3, Rybakina (2nd seed women's) lost in round 2, etc.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@ThePathTrader Was up nearly 40% at close. Q2 revenue jumped 48 percent to 22 billion dollars, and GAAP profit nearly doubled. There are some red flags, but yes, really.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

Broadcom's Q2 was a blowout, and it's all about AI.

Revenue $22.2B (+48%)
AI chip revenue $10.8B (+143%) — now ~half the company
Free cash flow $10.3B (46% margin)
Guidance: Q3 revenue $29.4B (+84%)

The AI build-out isn't cooling. It's accelerating. $AVGO

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@goodalexander

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@RoundtableSpace Valuation is less extreme than in 2000 (in aggregate), but concentration is worse. The dot-com analogy fits Palantir far better than Nvidia. If there is a 2000-style crash coming, it will start with the names priced on hype rather than cash.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@CarOnPolymarket

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

$GOOG reported $62.6B in net income last quarter (up 81%) But...about 46% of it didn't come from Google's business. It came from marking up the value of its stake in Anthropic.

Google commits up to $40B to Anthropic (~$350B valuation).
That new round marks up Google's existing ~14% stake (a $28.7B unrealized gain that flows straight into net income)
Anthropic commits ~$200B back to Google Cloud.

Same dollars, counted twice. The accounting is legit. Since 2018, companies must mark equity stakes to the latest round. The issue is quality, not legality.

Operating income grew 16%. Solid, if unspectacular.
The 81% headline was mostly a paper gain on a private stake, partly funded by Google's own capital, that converts into cloud backlog Google then books as growth.

The mechanic that inflated the quarter can deflate the next one.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

May was the easy part. June is where the AI rally meets the macro it's been ignoring. Three events define the month:

$SPCX IPO (~June 11) — largest in history, but Starship launches are paused pending an FAA probe.

Warsh's first FOMC — with PCE at a 3-year high, he could open with a hike into a market priced for cuts.

The Iran deal the entire oil-disinflation trade is leaning on — still not closed. Nine weeks of gains priced in a lot of good news. June is when we find out if it was right.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

For four days, the whales and the sharps have been at odds

US-Iran peace deal by May 31:
Whales — 12-11 YES (bought it all the way down)
Sharps — 10-13 NO (flipped bearish Tuesday, never looked back)

Price: 9¢ (payoff at 11x).
Time left: 48 hours

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@pelositracker "Stop overthinking what stocks to buy and just buy what POTUS says"

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@TheGreekTrader @spencerpratt @Polymarket This one is actually shaping up to be a close race. Karen Bass, the incumbent, is immensely unpopular. Spencer Pratt may be a douche, but he was on reality TV and as we've seen in American politics, that can go a long way. He also lost his home in the Palisades fire.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

$DELL was the tiebreaker. It answered emphatically.
Revenue: $43.8B vs $35.8B expected — a 23% beat, up 88% YoY. EPS: $4.86 vs $2.96 — a 64% beat. AI server revenue: $16.1B, up 757% YoY. And it RAISED full-year revenue guidance from ~$140B to $165–169B.
The stock is up 18% after hours.

Now compare to $NVDA — which beat and went flat. The difference: NVDA beat. Dell beat AND raised. In the AI-winner bucket, beating is table stakes. You have to raise the bar, not just clear it.

The bifurcation holds: $SNOW +35%, $DELL +18%, $CRM flat. The market is paying for accelerating AI demand and nothing else.

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@RT_com *still has a high end robot vacuum, though

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@j0xnah @Polymarket Didn't Shane just refer to insider trading as a feature rather than a bug? 🤔

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@BrokieTrades It is available via API, tho

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

@sonixtrader Given the current disagreement on what's even included in a peace deal I think you're golden

[Psi Markets @PsiMarkets]

$CRM just reported. Non-GAAP EPS: $3.88 vs $3.13 expected — a 24% beat. Revenue: $11.13B, also a beat. GAAP EPS up 52% YoY. Operating margin hit 34.8%.
The stock is flat after hours.

A 24% earnings surprise can't move a stock that's down 32% YTD. The 2026 pattern is now 5 for 5:
$NOW — beat, down 18% $WMT — beat, down 7% $NVDA — beat, down 1% $ZS — beat, down 31% $CRM — beat by 24%, flat

Beating estimates is no longer a catalyst. It's table stakes. Tomorrow: $DELL reports.