Holding random altcoins long-term is no longer a strategy—it’s hope masquerading as a plan. 2017 rewarded gamblers. 2025 buries them.
The market has transitioned from a casino economy, where passive gambling on random altcoins was systematically rewarded, into a skill-based arena where success demands differentiation between two games:
• games of chance (gambling): passive holding of legacy altcoins, nostalgic bets on outdated narratives, or blind bagholding without active market participation.
• games of skill (asymmetric edges): actively identifying trends, timing cycles, and managing risk through narratives, liquidity patterns, or on-chain fundamentals.
The market hasn’t stopped rewarding risk—it’s just redistributing profits from gamblers to players with skill.
What people think altseason is
market phase where approximately 95% of altcoins significantly outperform BTC while Bitcoin itself shifts trend.
• mechanical rotation: capital automatically flows from large-caps into small-caps
• universal pump: nearly all altcoins surge, regardless of fundamentals or market conditions
• passive strategy: participants need only hold existing altcoin bags, expecting automatic gains as money "rotates" downward
What altseason really is
a seasonal, cyclical window (often in Q1 of a bull market) where altcoins have a higher probability of outperforming Bitcoin, though not universally.
• probabilistic: a subset of alts may surge, driven mainly by narratives
• risk-reward asymmetry: alts exhibit higher up capture with limited down capture even if Bitcoin corrects
• active selection: success depends on identifying trending projects, rather than passive holding
altseason isn’t extinct—it’s darwinian. adapt or exit the food chain.
Writing this one personally.
We are in touch with the family of Eva, who is a 6 year old battling cancer. The family needs the first installment within 5 days and the full payment ($150,000) within two weeks. They have a funding page that has had no luck. A small team created a PF token for the family and sent over 5% of the supply to Eva’s brother, David’s wallet. Any exposure helps in saving Eva’s life. Thank you for taking time to read this.
CA: EnZyLHkH1mHLyLJ8zHL8NTgtgvNdoJ8op3DTZt5opump
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Tiktok: https://t.co/rxmMKYH4fW
It is such a simple concept but there is a glaring difference between those who think short-term vs those who think long-term.
You can see it in almost every decision that a person makes.
i genuinely can’t stop buying $arc
although i got in at $85m
i believe @arcdotfun is still a disgustingly undervalued asset, and might be one of my comfiest holds to $1B+ this cycle
here’s why…
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Yet most don’t know the REAL money-making hack
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Some misunderstanding about #bitcoin relative strength index (RSI). This chart shows 200WMA and RSI (basically a moving average, but indexed at 0-100). Note that in 2013 the high RSI (orange/red) period was 10 months and in 2017 8 months. We are now in month 4: bull just started.