Jeremy Clark

I do research on voting systems, TLS, Bitcoin, panic passwords and other topics in applied cryptography. // NOLINT

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

In black and white: the NSA/CSS makes crypto modifications to commercial security devices. http://t.co/WZNRqsoFHs

[Designing DeFi @Designing_DeFi]

D² brings together research on DeFi protocol design, incentives, and market behavior

Across two days, the program spans:

→ DeFi Microstructure
→ Perpetual Futures & Derivatives
→ Mechanism Design
→ Prediction Markets
→ AMMs

Learn more: https://t.co/IWTLqlIKEP

[Denitsa Tsekova @denitsa_tsekova]

We looked at the average bettor in Iran-related prediction markets.

In one of the most popular markets, ~90% of wallets bet $1,000 or less.

The 10 accounts that traded $1M+?
They only started betting after the initial news broke.

W/@justinaknope @rachaeldottle

[Denitsa Tsekova @denitsa_tsekova]

Cool breakdown of who’s winning (and losing) in prediction markets

Since early 2025:
• 100K+ Polymarket accounts lost at least $1,000, nearly 2x the number that made that much
• Profits are heavily concentrated among a small group
• Everyone else, in aggregate, is down $131 M

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

Path B: Like many cryptographers, Satoshi read a quite popular encyclopedia and copied a citation from it to the part that he used.

Occam's razor would suggest B.

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

The @findingsatoshi_ documentary has reinvigorated the question of Satoshi's citation to a paper in a local Benelux symposium.

There is a simple explanation for this.

https://t.co/6yUW0LQRVK

[Coinjoined Chris ⚡ @coinjoined]

I don't think @lensassaman was Satoshi. He didn't know C++, nor ever used Windows per his wife & he strongly criticized Bitcoin's lack of privacy.
But this is wild: the whitepaper cites an obscure, at that time print-only, paper… and he shared a photo of his office in Belgium in 2007:

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

Now that you know, you can choose the road you want to go down:

Path A: Satoshi had a paper copy of a hard-to-find conference proceedings and happened to make the same typo as the encyclopedia.

[Peter Miller @tgof137]

Short summary of the new Coinbase-sponsored movie "Finding Satoshi":

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

@joeykrug I’ve spent a lot of time with that dataset but no luck with any top candidate being a close match. Can you say at a high level what stylemetric you focused on?

Also how do you handle post-Bitcoin text since it may use Satoshi's terminology or even quote him.

[Austin Hill @austinhill]

Watch the documentary. I'll never get that time back. Apprecite the attempt at kindness towards Fran and Meredith but the methodology and investigative prowess being shown is as bad at @JohnCarreyrou at the NYT,

Frankly with the upcoming Calvin Ayre funded movie, Killing Satoshi starring Casey Affleck (and the unproven lies about Gary Oldman playing @adam3us circulating) the whole thing is ridiculous.

A much better documentary is Kung Fu Elliot (mirrors Faketoshi and Calvin's delusions)/. It also has more clues about Satoshi subjects then anyone cares to investigate. Casey Affleck should be ashamed being associated with the Faketoshi lies.

[zooko🛡🦓🦓🦓 ⓩ @zooko]

In my five-minute, unscripted talk at the Network State conference, I disclosed a private conversation between Hal Finney and me shortly before he died: https://t.co/goJq3mJH9q

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

I assume it is live streaming and you can't fast forward and the film hasn't ended yet because Polymarket is going through a real journey.

The other category has dried up now (the filmmakers did promise to name one name IIRC) and Hal/Len are about 50-50 now.

[Jeremy Clark @PulpSpy]

https://t.co/c7Og1ECnPn

Great, paying twice as much and waiting an extra day because I am Canadian.

Someone want to leak the film's thesis?

Polymarket is a bit all over the place and I assume some traders have seen it by now. Still split between Len, Hal, and other. Team?

[Brian Armstrong @brian_armstrong]

The early access is for US users.

[camol @camolNFT]

The @TradeOnsight monitors just found another potential insider on Polymarket.

Brand new wallet put $3,700 on the new Finding Satoshi documentary to NOT identify Hal Finley as Satoshi.

Documentary releases tomorrow and the market is pretty low activity (less than $100k).

Seems sus to me 🧐