Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦

Retired publisher and programmer of Canada's first web database of federal election statistics. News and political junkie.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

🧵 Post-#elxn45 commentary is focused on inter-party vote-shifts, but in some cases massive turnout hikes also deserve closer attention. Whether from infrequent voters deciding to show up this time (abstainers), or increased voter-rolls (new entrants), let's take a look. 1/23

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@ThePaikinPod @CharlieAngusNDP @NDP This was done to promote accessibility for disabled delegates, who have been (rightly) very assertive at previous conventions about what they needed in order to be able to participate fully as delegates.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@ThePaikinPod @CharlieAngusNDP @NDP I love Charlie, but there was definitely a prominent flag. He wasn’t there; I was. It was in the side view, yes, but that’s because of the full transcription in both official languages that took up most of the screen space behind the podium. Don’t fall for bad faith attacks.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@DakotaAHensley @PollTracker2024 The NYT Fandos takeout on his being lazy and napping all the time or going paddlboarding probably didn’t help.

https://t.co/G8cGU0wB8n

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@CDNprojections @seankelly014 Very helpful, thank you.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@PeterKellyBC @CDNprojections Well-known academic consortium. They study every election. Look them up.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@seankelly014 @CDNprojections I believe this is an academic poll conducted just after the last federal election, by the Canadian Election Study.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@clement_molin You do such superb work, it feels a little churlish to be picky, but for some honest (and rarely needed) feedback: at first glance, the labelling on this map makes it look at though it was the Russians hitting the key roads. Just a thought. Keep up the excellent work. Merci!

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@ddayen Everyone up here is ready to PNG that lout of an ambassador Trump sent to Ottawa as well!

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@globalistwoke @StatisticUrban @NateBlanchett She launched a few unfounded attacks at AES, could not back them up, and looked weak. She has made some ludicrous assertions about M4A (I say this as a 🇨🇦), when AES literally wrote the book on it. And her campaign is all about positioning in the centre, so never looks sincere.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@USA_Polling US finally gets a Lib vs NDP run-off :-)

[MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA]

❌ Traffic through the Dzhankoy checkpoint on the border with Crimea has been suspended after the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck the bridge.

If the second checkpoint is closed, the only way to enter Crimea will be through the Crimean Bridge.

[MeidasClips @MeidasClips]

Charlie Angus: There was a group of young Normandy students, and two young teenage girls read a poem in French to the commemoration ceremonies and to the immense field of the dead. And she said, "We are the children that you never had. We are the children of liberty."

And there wasn't a dry eye in the house, but I always remember because Charles Scott Brown, in his 90s, stood up. And he broke protocol, of course, and he said to those young girls, "Don't cry for any man in this field. They came to free you, and they would do it again if they were asked."

That's what we come from. That is [Canada's] legacy. Do you think that we're going to let the likes of Pete Hoekstra push us around, or Donald Trump and his predator government threaten us? That's what we represent.

[Mark Carney @MarkJCarney]

82 years ago, 14,000 Canadians landed on Juno Beach, many of whom would never come home.

On the anniversary of D-Day, we pause to honour those who served and sacrificed. We remember that our rights, our freedoms, and our way of life were fought for and were won by those who answered the call.

[Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa]

Today is the 82nd anniversary of D-Day – the Allied landings in Normandy, which significantly hastened the countdown to the Nazis' collapse in World War II. It is one of the most important moments of unity among the defenders of life in human history, and it was less than a year until the peoples’ aspiration for freedom and the hope of peace prevailed in May 1945. It happened then. We are working to make it happen again today.

And although yesterday in Petersburg another cynical order to continue killing was issued for the army trying to destroy our freedom, history has seen this before. The Nazis also had their own hopes after D-Day. But freedom still wins. And even in the darkest circumstances, people find ways to come together to protect life.

I thank all those who are now helping to protect the values that prevailed in World War II. I thank everyone who is defending life. Glory to Ukraine!

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@ME_Politics_ Are there many contested races on the GOP side of things?

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@ethanmwolf The reporter, in his standup after this tape ran, said that this gentleman had voted for Susan Collins and Donald Trump in the past.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@christoaivalis This is actually what happened, agreed. Previous NDP supporters who voted Liberal, thereby allowing the Conservatives to win.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@StephenJack4 Uh, *give* up, of course I meant. :-)

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

Carney does not seem to realize that this is not a durable state of affairs for him.

[Althia Raj @althiaraj]

My latest column. https://t.co/yjj2BeS9rk

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

@StephenJack4 Good point on the discipline of power. I might disagree in your latter point, though: people start to like moving in the top circles and being in the room. That’s hard to govern up.

[Pundits' Guide 🇨🇦 @punditsguide]

Historic and very wise letter…

[Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa]

Open Letter
To the President of the Russian Federation
From the President of Ukraine

When you came to power in Russia more than 26 years ago, many people in Ukraine viewed you positively. That is how it was. But that is now in the past.
Now, the overwhelming majority of Ukrainians view it positively that our long-range drones paid a visit to the opening of your forum in St. Petersburg, covering a distance of more than 1,000 kilometers. As you know very well, that distance is not the limit of our capabilities.