The US oil market has undergone a historic transformation:
The US has been a net exporter of oil every quarter since 2020, with exports up to ~360 million barrels per quarter, the 2nd-highest on record.
Since 2008, US oil exports have surged +800%, driven by the shale revolution.
Over the same period, imports have fallen by roughly -38%, to ~260 million, near the lowest since the 1990s.
The US has gone from net IMPORTING ~400 million barrels of oil per quarter in 2006 to net EXPORTING ~100 million barrels per quarter in 2025.
This marks one of the biggest energy shifts by a major economy in modern history.
US oil dominance is reshaping global energy dynamics.
BREAKING: US Energy Secretary Wright deletes his X post on the US Navy successfully escorting an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices rebound back above $80/barrel.
$CRWD isn’t tanking because of AI fears. The real issue? Massive stock-based comp — ~$1.1B (22% of revenue).
Include it, and profits vanish.
Share-neutral FCF was ~$210M vs ~$100B market cap — ~460x P/FCF. Even after the drop, still expensive.
$200 TP
$OPEN has real tailwinds from the President. That matters.
January is usually when small caps do well and money feels easier.
Opendoor just broke out of a 4-month consolidation, which tells you supply finally cleared.
First target is 9.
If momentum sticks, 11.5–12 isn’t a stretch.
That’s the setup.
Saturday Recap – $OPEN
Big week, bigger signal.
• Strong early breakout, held gains into close
• Volume confirmed the move — not a low-liquidity pop
• Price reclaimed and held key moving averages
• RSI cooled without full unwind = constructive
• Shorts had multiple chances to press… and failed
This wasn’t euphoria. It was positioning.
Rate tailwinds + volume shock math are starting to matter.
Next week isn’t about hope — it’s about follow-through.
#OPEN #Opendoor #Housing #Stocks #MarketRecap #ShortPressure