cyanark43: m

trust but verify

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@KalshiSharp That’s a big jump for Jen & Gabriel who previously haven’t been polling well / don’t have notable significant followings. What’s your thesis? More stability than the other couples ranked 4-6?

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@KalshiSharp LFG 🔥

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@BuddyFlips Yeah that’s right, the +312 is effectively a ~+295 bet after accounting for the fees paid

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@BuddyFlips and to answer your other question, I don’t think there’s a way to display fees paid in the app, it’s super predatory of them imo but at least desktop has a few fields that show it

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@BuddyFlips Would say that fee is taken separately, you still have a $100 to pay $395 bet (those displayed odds are technically correct), but in terms of process: your account balance would initially decrease $105 (pos + fee) and then you’d get back a $100 position at +295 odds

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@BuddyFlips Lines moved so this may be off by a dollar or two given how fees are odds dependent but can see what fees are on the limit order screen

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@BuddyFlips The web app has a portfolio field for avg. price which is net of fees that is useful to reference your true price. Trying to replicate your position now shows that you would’ve paid ~$22 in fees so you’d hold a $425 bet but paid balance $447 to get the bet

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@Whizard @HEROIMPROV also dm’d, thanks in advance Whizard

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@Whizard Hey quick question on yesterdays NHL model. For the ANA vs VAN game, the model projected VAN reg time win +7.8% over implied probability but that bet wasn’t labelled/highlighted, was there a reason for that (e.g. model uncertainty)?

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@nitininvests Top tier analysis on this one, thanks for pointing this stock out and let’s hope management keeps doing what they’re doing 💪

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@EV_Dingers Can you explain where the 9% roi to Circa is coming from? Only seeing 3% on the website for circa 100%

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@MonjePicks @rizaszn @AlexMonahan100 Usually credit cards treat Sportsbook deposits as cash advances/other and you don’t actually get any cash rewards on them. Are you certain your card has given cash back for these transactions?

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@underdogsniper Curious on your thoughts on overall profitability on underdogs. Seen a user play every underdog spread and land at 17% roi so underdogs have clearly been outperforming line setting. Your ROI seems to be 30%+, so just wondering where you estimate that landing at seasons end?

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@ApplejuiceBets No CLV is sometimes the best CLV - count me in when you get your selling service up and running

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@EverdawnChamp Big day indeed 💪

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@UnderdogPicks #underdogpicks

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@EVBetsCO 13-11-2

[cyanark43: m @PureGSM]

@wannabefresh Should be Russell under no?