Peter van Dongen📷

Eerlijk duurt het langst / Finance Professional / RA / Rotterdammert / / Levensgenieter / Interim manager / ZZP'er / #btc Telegram @pvdongen

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@MonaKeijzer gewoon overstappen naar JA21 en BBB lekker achter je laten.

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@0xSeco Belasting

[DdBvScheltinga @dpdbvs]

Are people listening to this incoherent rambling speech by Trump? Mixing up Iceland and Greenland.... Mixing up subjects, repeating himself. Is he mentally OK? #Trump #Davos #Greenland #Republicans #25thAmendment

[UniAnalyst @UniiCoinverse]

Wat een soul!
#tvoh #thevoiceofholland

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

Ik heb gestemd voor de NPO Radio 2 Top 2000 https://t.co/tM5nYJUZZr

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@iskchoudhary @lady_valor_07 48

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@lady_valor_07 1,050

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@MadelonVos__ Hans de Geus is over twee dingen gefrustreerd : 1. Dat hij niet ingestapt is toen BTC nog nauwelijks wat waard was en 2. Dat hij het hele systeem nog steeds niet begrijpt.

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@ElonMuskNews47 67

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@elonmuskADO 56

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

Zo, wij hebben al gestemd. #tochmaarweerVVD

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Realized price $55k and rising +
2-year realized price $95k and rising +
5-month realized price $113k and rising +
Bitcoin $115k, above all realized prices = bullish🚀

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@Jordisoeters Happy landings and safe travels.

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!?

IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, only about the average price level in a halving cycle, assuming a fundamental phase transition (as described in the S2FX article, on my website in the bio). So IMO the top could very well be in 2026, or 2027, or 2028 ... actually I am much more interested in the average price level than the top (or the bottom).

What I do know is: there has not been a fundamental bitcoin phase transition yet in this cycle. Realized price (grey line) has not diverted from 200 week moving average (black line), RSI has not been 80+ (red) etc. Either the big jump has yet to come, or we have transitioned into a more stable price regime, dominated by institutions, fund mandates (e.g. 1%-10% btc) and rebalancing (sell after pump and buy after dump, to keep exposures within mandate). Both scenarios are very bullish for bitcoin. Also, IMO there can not be a big bear market without a big jump (red RSI 80+ and grey realized price diverting from black 200wma).

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

#Nieuwsuur wat is er met de mascara van #tweebeeke aan de hand

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Bitcoin Sept close: $114,065 .. ready for Uptober, Moonvember, Bullcember?

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@Jordisoeters Heel veel sterkte. Goede afloop toegewenst.

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Like clockwork

[Peter van Dongen📷 @pvdongen]

@Jordisoeters Safe flight and happy landings.

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Whether you like it or not, bitcoin's value is very much linked to its scarcity. Fiat will be printed, bitcoin will rise.