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If full Kelly says invest f*, then half Kelly says invest half of it.
This allows more room for noise in real-life markets by giving up some growth rate.
In the real world, full Kelly often implies impractical aggressiveness.
So quants scale f* down by using half Kelly because full Kelly is too sensitive to small errors and can oversize.
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Here are 9 research papers about reinforcement learning & quant finance.
π¬ All resources are in the link below
no comment is needed, just take them.
π«‘ but a Thank you is much appreciated.
Here are 9 research papers about reinforcement learning & quant finance.
π¬ All resources are in the link below
no comment is needed, just take them.
π«‘ but a Thank you is much appreciated.
Optimal Execution
- Optimal Execution with Reinforcement Learning in a Multi-Agent Market Simulator
Execution is where reinforcement learning makes the most sense because optimal execution is a sequential decision problem, and a decision has to be made at each time step, which is exactly a finite-horizon MDP.
And by proposing a custom MDP and reporting the RL agent, it outperforms the standard execution strategy.
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Summary
Martingale theory is the study of processes that behave like βfair forecastsβ as information grows.
It gives a disciplined way to argue about
- what can and cannot be predicted
- what happens when you stop at random times
- how extremes behave
- when limits exist
Thatβs why martingale is a foundational topic in quant finance.