Bitcoindata21

STOCKS - MINERS - CRYPTO STOCKS - MACRO - BITCOIN

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

How I place my bias on higher timeframes (within the 3-5 year business/macro cycle) - using composites (of assets and/or indicators) - all are shared regularly in discord:

1. General market tops
2. General market bottoms
3. Bitcoin miner/crypto stocks
4. Bitcoin and crypto

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Good morning.
Ethereum is dead.
This is an IQ test.
Only the few shall pass.
Going back to sleep. Good night.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Taking a break to enjoy the summer, and watch England get knocked out on penalties again.

GL to all. See you soon.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Nobody talks about the Chinese 10 year yield in Bitcoin circles. They should. Go back and look at every major Bitcoin run since inception. Same setup every time.

Chinese 10Y yield finds a floor, starts creeping higher, Bitcoin follows. Every. Single. Cycle. It's not random.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

With U.S manufacturing ISM at 52.7 we can see ETH/BTC once again lining up to pump.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

The monthly Supertrend remains undefeated and is still bullish on bitcoin.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

$OTHERS divided by GOLD: breaking out on monthly RSI, which was uber bullish the last few times

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

I've seen a lot of lazy people call me a permabull.

Would a permabull be able to trade in and out of a 3x levered $IREN ETF like this? No they wouldn't.

*Dots do not indicate size of buy/sell

*Do not take this as a trade recommendation. It is highly volatile

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

The ratio of TOTAL3ES (Total crypto market cap exluding btc, eth, stables) to BITCOIN:

On the verge of breaking out of a 5 year downward trend.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Bitcoin. Keep it simple.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Small caps vs the S&P500 have already broken out many months ago. This has always been bulish for bitcoin.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

I remember months after the 15k bitcoin lows in 2022, people didn't want to bullieve.

Price went to 25k in early 2023 and retraced to 20k...

- At that time people were coming at me, saying there is no liquidity for the market to go up, and that we had to wait for "QE".

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

The bitcoin gold ratio (also known as the Saylor Schiff ratio) has gone through a 13 month downtrend. Historically 13-14 months marks a bottom.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Korean Exports are leading the way for the Global and U.S business cycle.

U.S manufacturing ISM will go higher.

Bitcoin will go higher.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

I see many are worried about yields and inflation going higher. This is a feature, not a bug, of bitcoin bull markets though.

On average, the U.S 10 year yields moves 1.50% higher before or during the bitcoin top.

1. Yields bottom
2. U.S ISM manufacturing bottoms

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

In 2 weeks we will have another MONTHLY BLUE MOON (the second full moon in a single calendar month).

Apart from 2018 where there was a double occurrence, every other time led to parabolic upside in bitcoin.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

The bollinger band on bitcoin dominance hasn't been this tight since april 2017.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Rolling bubbles 2025-202?

Gold/Silver✅
⬇️
Semiconductor stocks✅
⬇️
Bitcoin/Crypto⏳

What a time to be alive!

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

Bitcoin MVRV hit support trendline and bounced earlier this year. Doesn't get much simpler than this.

[Bitcoindata21 @quantdata21_]

In previous cycles, bitcoin broke out around the same time as the $IWM Russell 2000.

This cycle, it frontran and was over extended (before IWM and other cyclicals had even broken out), so it mean reverted back to previous cycle highs.

Now the real fun can begin.