@moklasen Okay, but real talk, haven't Russian warbloggers been collectively losing their shit since the first videos were posted of Russian armor formations getting obliterated around Borova in March of 2022?
What makes this different?
@jd_pressman The chess example is especially funny because, as AlphaZero proved, typing the command prompt "make whatever moves you think are best" actually works incredibly well!
Well enough to beat Stockfish, the product of over a decade of careful hand tuning, 88-12 in a 100 game match.
@Tim23541@thdxr We threw away twenty years, our entire manufacturing base, and the prosperity of countless communities pretending that the Chinese were interested in cooperation rather than dominance.
No more.
@Tim23541@thdxr China never stopped viewing America through a Cold War lens. It was America's end-of-history delusion in the 2000s that caused us to think that China would become a "normal" member of the international order.
@thdxr How does selling Nvidia into China prevent self sufficiency? It's not like if we impose restrictions at some future date, the Nvidia chips we've already sent in vanish.
All we're doing is allowing China to buy compute more efficiently.
@RhettButlerDMV@Malinowski@ChrisRMcGuire I do not understand what the point is of the argument that the US should keep China "hooked" on its stack, when all that does is enable Chinese companies to run closer to US ones.
@RhettButlerDMV@Malinowski@ChrisRMcGuire So then what's the point Jensen going China? If what you're saying is true, why should the Chinese allow US chip imports?
@MadCarew@kunley_drukpa Coca Cola chose to leave because Indian tariff regulations at the time mandated a certain amount of local ownership. Pepsi was willing to play ball. Coke wasn't, so they left. Even today, India is one of the few markets where Pepsi has more market share.
tl;dr: socialism sucks
You're vacuuming your house when you encounter a tortoise. You put the tortoise on a flowerpot. The tortoise lays there, its shell baking in the hot sun, trying to get down, but it can't. Not without your help. But you're not helping.
Why is that, Leon?
@Scholars_Stage If we had AGI, we could process satellite and electronic data much more quickly to track and shut down Iranian launchers. A very powerful AGI could predict launches, enabling air power to be in the vicinity to strike the launcher.
I enjoy dunking on Scott Alexander as much as the next guy, but I will never for a moment doubt that he knows what it's like to be on the wrong end of a cancellation.
Kind of wild to be suggesting that Scott Alexander, whose real-world identity was doxxed by the *New York Times* for his association with EA, doesn't know what it feels like to be "shut down" or "asked to shut up".
Relevant to the recent Robby / Scott exchange. I thought Robby did a pretty bad job of representing the views of EA folks, and kind of an even worse job of presenting the complex spikiness of their various intellectual virtues and vices. But I also felt pretty deeply gaslit by Scott's post. My guess is that Scott just hasn't experienced the being shutdown or asked to shut up explicitly because he is high status, and hasn't noticed the implicit ways that similar local cultural forces make him (according to my read, not super confident) kind of psychologically incapable of forming inside views about AI x-risk. I have much sympathy for both, even though I think both posts were pretty bad.
@jordanschneider Thanks. I saw "Fire and Fury", and I was confused, because the only "Fire and Fury" book I knew of was Bob Woodward's book on the first Trump White House.
@Dmg_Cntrl tbf "drones" can mean USVs as well as UAVs. When Ukrainian USVs hit Russian ships in the Black Sea they're colloquially referred to as "drone attacks" as well.
@MartinSkold2 Malthus was writing about the imminent mass starvation of humanity at a time when the Industrial Revolution was about to deliver unparalleled prosperity to Great Britain, which, in turn would go on to literally conquer the world.
Some people are just pessimists.
@MartinSkold2 People have been celebrating the potential extinction of humanity since the Christian millenarians of AD 1000. This isn't a new phenomenon. It's not caused by environmentalism or Marxism or whatever.