@KimDotcom@JannisKuester@elonmusk You need 1 meter thick (Or 30 cm Lead) concrete walls to block the radiation enough to be on long-term survivable levels as Fall-out will also reach New Zealand 30 days after Russia/US nuke each other.
@TylerSCrypto As if it would work that way. Suddenly the recession, the quantative tightening, the rate hiking and the war ends because Tyler has too many bear replies in his thread...
@halvarflake, more awesome results of sanctions: German exports to Russia collapsed/fallen to lowest value in 19yrs, down 65% MoM while imports remained high in Mar, down only 2%, after more than tripling since May2020. This confirms what credit default swaps already priced in.
@naiivememe@cz_binance You are showing that it had a massive run during QE where it can fall off from in a Quad4/Global depression enviroment with increased Yields and QT.
@halvarflake Sanctions like banning coal/gas/oil have a very simple effect. What this will do to inflation/economy? And what do prices 4-5 times higher do to russia? Sanctions made this war profitable for russia. Ruble is on a 52 week high. Just look at russian CDS. I was right - again.
@halvarflake The official numbers will never be allowed to be double-digits so i'll pass. Though, quite tempting considering CPI usually follows PPI and Ex-Energy PPI is already 13%.
@halvarflake The opposite. You were willing to agree to give me risk-free money. I actually wanted to propose 6.5% but wasn't sure if you would agree to that. "clever enough"?
@halvarflake It was clear we would have inflation around 10% this year already in April 2021. With the war we will be lucky if it tops out at 12-15%. Highly depends on russia now if they cut gas or not, or if we find more sanctions that drag us further into recession. https://t.co/7B9an50tNY
@halvarflake If you think you are loosing because of UKR you haven't learned anything. The effects of this war won't be 'priced' in until the 2nd half of this year. The first signs were there already in April 2021.