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$BTC bounced after hitting $72,866, then sellers pushed it to a lower low of $72,727.
QuantumFlow Oracle found that the first flush hit spot and perps with almost identical selling intensity: 26.4% and 26.0% net-sell imbalance from 15:30 to 15:45 UTC.
On Binance perps, 4,930 BTC sold into the measured bid zone while displayed bids there fell by a net 942 BTC after accounting for executions.
Buying returned, but the bounce failed. This was bid depletion, not a defended flush.
Our in house quant, Oracle warned us Saturday about a big liquidation level on Hyperliquid $ETH
It said “a drop into that zone brings a concentrated forced selling risk”
Fast forward a day, ETH hit that level and triggered a multi % liquidation cascade
$BTC has traded in a range of less than 1% over the first 44 hours of this weekend.
The edges are $75,571 and $76,250.
In 5 of the 8 previous weekends this tight since 2023, BTC traded through both edges in the next day. That happened in 52 of 199 weekends overall.
A break of one side does not necessarily settle the direction.
Backtesting some of these unusual readings on the @QuantumFlow_AI screener right now. Let's see what we can pick up from the data
https://t.co/4dnXY9vBwf
XRP spot selling is getting a different response now.
Spot sell imbalance was nearly unchanged from the prior six days, but Binance spot climbed in that stretch and fell over the past day. Large trades skewed much further toward sellers, and perp selling intensified too.
Similar daily spot-sell readings earlier this year split almost evenly on next-day direction, 44 of 94 up, with a median move near flat. The shift is the price response, not a next-day call.
QuantumFlow's replay mode:
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Replay footprints, orderbooks and nearly every other data point from any time
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It answers one question: who is controlling the auction, and how firmly
$ETH’s jump has a short-squeeze signature, and spot demand is lagging.
Shorts dominated liquidations across Binance, Bybit and OKX today. Binance spot was close to flat; Coinbase spot was net-selling.
The closest historical matches are a small sample of 4. None finished higher over the next day, with a median return down ~1.5%. A clean continuation needs spot to show up.
Absorption is easy to describe and hard to measure
We tested it on 33,114 BTC hours. Add any volume floor and the effect disappears
Here's what absorption actually looks like, and how to read it ⬇️ https://t.co/UZxtq5s8E7
BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE and SUI spot books are carrying less sell liquidity overhead than they did in October.
Over the past day, median ask depth on Binance and Coinbase spot was ~35% lower, versus ~12% for bids. The gap held into this morning, though it was not universal; matched Binance perp books stayed close to October levels.
There is less resting supply for spot buyers to trade through if demand comes back. The small Coinbase ETH history after similar thin-ask days gave no clean next-day direction, so this is a liquidity-sensitivity shift.
$BTC’s October liquidation wave did not clear perp exposure.
BTC perps on Binance and Bybit saw $1.15B in long liquidations, yet BTC-denominated open interest across those venues finished the month 8% higher. After the first down week, Binance BTC perp kept falling in each later full week as combined open interest grew.
As of Monday afternoon, most accounts on both venues are still net long. Another leg lower could force more exits, though open interest doesn’t tell us which side added contracts. The small historical sample after similar liquidation months was mixed, so this is a risk read, not a bottom call.
$BTC had a real ETF bid late last week.
U.S. spot funds created $445M over four full sessions, and BTC finished each matching U.S. session higher. Friday slipped, but the ETF report was partial, so the broader demand shift is still unresolved.
$BTC spot buyers ran into replenishing offers on Binance this afternoon.
The buy imbalance was the strongest in the same two-hour stretch across the past month. Buyers lifted ~620 BTC near the ask; sellers added ~592 BTC net back there, and the mid barely moved.
By the last hour, Binance spot flow had turned net-selling.
XRP’s Binance spot CVD has finally turned positive after a long stretch of selling, but the change is thin: $23M more aggressive buying than selling on $3.5B traded.
Coinbase, Bybit and OKX are still net sellers. XRP keeps sliding, and the flow change remains concentrated on Binance.
$BNB just posted its most sell-heavy weekly spot-flow reading in 200 matched weeks, yet spot prices rose across venues.
During one heavy Binance spot-selling hour, $10.7M in taker sells hit the near-touch bids. Net bids replenished and price finished the hour higher.
This week, BNB has climbed again with spot aggression back near flat.
$BTC - FOMC today, last decision was a 25 BP hike and BTC was 1.2% higher after 24 hours
Watching the 80K level. Weekly VWAP - Bid skew is starting to develop below as well
Since 2021, BTC has moved about 3% on average in the 24 hours after a Fed decision. Direction has been close to a coin flip but the size hasn't
We built a macro events tracker as a feature in @quantumflow_ai, where you can go back over the last 5 years and see how price reacted after every CPI event, FOMC event, and jobs report ⬇️
Quantumflow is now live on the App Store
Heatmap, footprints, all your order flow tools right in your hand…
Buttery speeds with millisecond-level updates