Raf3

Into crypto since bitconnect 💀.
Just self journaling & observing

[Raf3 @rafiobserving]

Starting 2025 with $ 35k. meh, such lame. Wish to 3~4x by this year 🤞🙏

[Raf3 @rafiobserving]

Starting 2024 with $ 13,000. Wishing all the best 🤞🙏

[exitpump @exitpumpBTC]

$BTC Pretty strong selling from spot markets. Longs puking alongside it. Books are thin on the bid side, easy to push price lower.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

$BTC

2.78% Rejection ✔️

64K is going to be a critical level for Bitcoin.

If we're unable to hold, a revisit of the 60K lows becomes increasingly likely.

[UNKNOWN TRADER @Learnernoearner]

$BTC ✅

Now up

[Killa @KillaXBT]

Absolutely f*cking textbook.

MMs & algos front ran everyone's bids in the 47–58K range.

Just another classic market psyop... bitcoin:native

[Killa @KillaXBT]

67.4-67.5K is the area to observe for $BTC

Flip that level and 70.3K comes into play.

We also need to take into consideration that FOMC is approaching & as always, the outcome is already priced in.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

Expecting something like this for $BTC on the LTF.

This week is shaping up to be very interesting.

[curb @CryptoCurb]

$SOL

we are now at 500+ days since the cycle top
it took 420 days to hit cycle bottom in 2022

everyone is calling for $40 SOL
just like everyone was calling for $4 SOL in 2022

buy $SOL ~$60
sell $SOL > $600

future millionaires are made down here

#SOLANA ⚡️

[The DeFi Investor 🔎 @TheDeFinvestor]

$ETH monthly RSI hit its most oversold level on record.

It's now more oversold than at any point during the 2018 or 2022 bear markets.

Insane to see this.

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: Iran says the US has agreed to permanently hand over the Strait of Hormuz to Iran under their full sovereign authority, with Iran collecting tolls called "service fees" from all commercial ships after a 60-day waiver period. The opening is planned for Friday, after the signing, per Fars.

With pre-war Hormuz traffic at 30,000 vessels and 7.6 billion barrels of oil per year, this could generate $10+ billion in annual revenue for Iran, and comes on top of the $300 billion in reconstruction funds directly sent to Iran.

This also directly contradicts Trump's claim of a "toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz" under no fees.

[Lookonchain @lookonchain]

Michael Saylor(@saylor)'s @Strategy bought another 1,587 $BTC($100M) at $63,024 last week.

Strategy now holds 846,842 $BTC($56B) at an average price of $75,656 and is currently sitting on an unrealized loss of $8.06B(-12.59%).

https://t.co/ISWIOoOu9c

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$btc

I know 98.4% is high, and it was ridiculed somewhat by newcomers.

But it's 99% emotions driving the sentiment, noting how much the bears were posting and telling us we would go sub 50k.

Price can suddenly reverse and sentiment follows, delayed and almost always late.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

$BTC Monday.

Bulls need to hold 64K. If we hold 64K then we can easily test 67K & squeeze some more shorts.

On the other hand, unable to hold 64K an we go right back below 60K & this pump was just a scam wick to bait longs.

Observing London/NY today will be key in determining whether Monday marks a pivot high before downside, or if we see continuation for further upside.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

It's the 14th... $BTC

Pretty much, to validate the idea that we're bearish for the rest of the month, we need to maintain acceptance below the 65-66K region.

If we hold below after the 14th, I think it makes sense to expect a LTF retrace.

On the other hand, If we break back above 65-66K, then the likelihood increases that we see an extended push into the 68-70K region before any meaningful retrace.

[Roman @Roman_Trading]

$BTC 1D

Getting that bounce we wanted.

Historically oversold & sitting in macro support. Eyeing 70k.

We’re also looking to close bull divs on our 1W chart + all the other indicators we’ve mentioned over the past few weeks.

[CrypNuevo 🔨 @CrypNuevo]

These are some previous examples of this Three Taps Pattern:

Second and third tap can be either a retest or a deviation, the order doesn't matter.

In terms of liquidity, the deviation is to efficiently hit stop losses and trick breakout traders. Common range behaviour.

[CrypNuevo 🔨 @CrypNuevo]

$BTC Sunday update:

Still seeing a recovery to the mid-range $69k.

From there, I'll look for signs of momentum decreasing and a potential rejection to close my long and set orders again at range lows for a possible Three Taps pattern.

🧵↓(1/5)

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$btc longs

TP3, closer and closer ⌛️

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC and $SPX "correlation"

"BTC is only correlated to SPX when it goes down, not when SPX goes up"

Is something many main stream crypto gurus tell you.

While spilling your reading time and mental effort to make you believe they are "correlated"...

...you know my stance how I believe that correlation should be ignored despite main stream CX telling you to track it.

Chart below saids all.

BTC/SPX has been in a 10+ year, sustained uptrend. Higher highs, higher lows, in its early days, in its maturing days, but also in 2025.

Tracking SPX and worrying about your BTC bags is a waste of your mental capacity.

Emotions aside, look at the data, look at the charts.

My point is proven, for 15 years now.

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 THE NEXT 72 HOURS COULD BREAK THE GLOBAL MARKETS.

And this is not due to one but a total of 4 big events.

Starting with the US-Iran peace deal first.

So far, the US-Iran peace deal has been getting delayed, but now it's close to an actual agreement.

But what happens after the US-Iran peace deal is signed?

Inflation won't just disappear.
Oil supply shock won't go away.

Markets will start to focus on actual things, and that's when things will get worse.

The same happened during 1980s energy supply shock, and the same could repeat again.

The next is SpaceX.

It launched this Friday, but the next week will be the real test.

If $SPCX shows any weakness, it'll be a sign that the market can't absorb such a high-valuation IPO.

This'll not only impact upcoming IPOs but could also trigger a sell-off across the tech and AI sectors.

After this, we have the BOJ rate decision on 16th June.

A rate hike is confirmed, but here's something else.

A BOJ rate hike will strengthen the yen, which could trigger the carry trade unwind.

Remember the August 2024 crash?

Markets could repeat something similar again.

And finally, the Fed interest rate decision.

For now, the Fed is expected to pause, but the rate hike odds for Q4 2026 are going up.

And it'll be interesting to see what Kevin Warsh thinks of it.

Will he preach for more easing like Trump expects, or will he make decisions based on actual data?

If he goes for the latter, this will bring the entire market down.

So keep my notifications on, as I'll be updating all these in real-time.

The upcoming week is not like the others, so be prepared for massive volatility.

[CryptoBullet @CryptoBullet1]

$BTC will go much lower

Enjoy this small Dead Cat Bounce while it lasts and prepare for more downside 📉