rafonsoyhp381

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@AugustoBackes meu irmão, acredito que te fará bem. Fica com Deus e obrigado pelo seu cuidado por nós. Link: https://t.co/xIOKVmZojj

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@AugustoBackes Backes se possível, assista essa Live, me fez muito bem. Obrigado pelos ensinamentos sempre.

Link: https://t.co/3E932xXG4d

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@VeremOrg uma live com o Augusto Backes por exemplo, dirigindo todas as dúvidas e demonstrando todo o processo, inclusive in loc, melhoraria muito o respaldo do projeto. Resolveria muita coisa.

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@VeremOrg bom dia, um modelo de vault agregado a algum incentivo poderia segurar o despejo e valorizar o token. Ou algo como pontuação para elegibilidade de airdrop de algum token. Menos estratégias de recebimento de token verem ou incentivo de vendas em Book de ofertas.🙏

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@kucoincom @VeremOrg Mais pressão de venda deste token, apesar de ficar em evidência. Esse tipo de recompensa converte em despejo do token por baleias na Kucoin. Melhor seria um modelo de compra + staking = recompensa futura. 😓

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@GateAlphaHQ @VeremOrg A questão é que o ativo #Verem terá volume de negociação mas quem ganha realmente é a corretora, pois não sai de um range de preços, portanto não ganha tração e com isto não se sustenta no tempo. Compra + venda = $ 😓. Poderiam pensar apenas em compras no começo.

[Alok Tiwari @talok253]

Gold vs Bitcoin

2010: 1 kg Gold = 152,267 BTC

2015: 1 kg Gold = 87 BTC

2020: 1 kg Gold = 2.1 BTC

2021: 1 kg Gold = 1.27 BTC

2023: 1 kg Gold = 1.57 BTC

2025: 1 kg Gold = 0.9 BTC

2026: 1 kg Gold = 1.59 BTC

2040 : 1 kg Go… show more

[Use Bitcoin @UseBitcoinBr]

Mesmo com o auditório quase vazio, o homem fez sua apresentação.

O preço do Bitcoin era de $100 nessa época.
#Respect

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

Bom dia. O brasileiro precisa entender que a leitura não é um hobby, mas uma questão de sobrevivência. Porque, nesta selva, quem mais a conhece tem muito mais chances de continuar vivo.

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@VeremOrg Quantos tokens foram oferecidos para a Corretora despejar na abertura das negociações ?

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@AugustoBackes o caso da VEREM poderia ser resolvido em um dia você convidar na live os responsáveis pelo projeto para darem a suas versões e dirimirem o assunto, saindo das suas costas. “Argumentos vazios são comida para ratos". O preço do token também não ajuda muito.

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@VeremOrg Uma coisa não podemos negar, esse token é muito justo. Btc subindo ou caindo de preço, ele continua caindo. 👏👏👏👏

[David @david_eng_mba]

Bitcoin Isn’t Trading on “News” Right Now, It’s Trading on the Pipes Becoming Unplugged

Everyone is hunting for a macro narrative: the Fed, geopolitical friction, or a value debate. But the tape shows a different reality. Right now, Bitcoin’s price action is a byproduct of mechanical constraints. This isn't a debate about the future of money; it's an expiry driven liquidity event.

1. The Mechanical Driver: The 30JAN26 Gamma Unpinning
The most important factor right now isn't "bullish" or "bearish" sentiment, it’s the unwinding of a major share of near dated gamma in the near-dated complex.

The Trap: For much of January, Bitcoin was effectively pinned in the $85k–$95k range. This was a "hedging-dominated" regime where dealer positioning acted as a shock absorber, dampening volatility in both directions.

The Release: Today, roughly a third of that near-dated gamma rolls off (representing over $8.3B in notional open interest on Deribit alone). This doesn't guarantee a direction, but it removes the guardrails. We are transitioning from a pinned/stable regime to a high-sensitivity regime.

The Vanna Effect: As spot price slid toward $82k, the spike in Implied Volatility (IV) forced dealers to sell spot to stay delta-neutral (Negative Vanna). This is why the drop feels like a "trap door", it’s a mechanical accelerant, not necessarily a change in fundamental conviction.

2. What the Media is Missing: Selective Liquidity Sourcing
The mainstream story is "Bitcoin is failing while Gold is flying." The first-principles story is about which assets are most "saleable" in a crisis.

Precious Metals Reversal: Gold and silver just printed record nominal highs (Gold recently touched $5,600+ in futures) before snapping back sharply today. Investors are fleeing to safety, but they are also facing a liquidity crunch.

The Liquid Sacrifice: While institutional ETF inflows reached $1.4 billion earlier this month, some allocators are now using Bitcoin as a liquidity valve. Because Bitcoin is a 24/7 liquid market, it is often the first asset sold when investors need to rebalance into soaring safe havens or cover margin calls in legacy markets that are closed or slower to settle.

3. The Reality Check: Caution, Not Euphoria
If this were a retail-driven bubble, we’d see screaming funding rates. We see the opposite.

Funding Rates: Funding is positive but not euphoric (well below mania regimes). This signals an absence of retail mania and a market that is leaning defensive.

Support Tiers: We are currently testing the Realized Price of Short-Term Holders, which sits in the low-$80k range (with $80.7k identified as a "true market mean"). This is the "conviction floor." If this level holds through the expiry volatility, the structural case for a snap-back remains robust.

The Verdict: Unwinding the Present
Bitcoin is trading at its most "honest" price in months because the derivative walls are finally crumbling. We are roughly 32% below my power-law fair value estimate (~$122k), but the market now requires organic spot demand not just leverage to bridge that gap.

The ~30% pin release doesn’t guarantee a rally.

It just raises the probability that the next large move is upward, because most of the mandatory selling has already happened.

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

Bom dia @AugustoBackes. Deus conhece a tua verdade e sonda ela lá no fundo do teu coração; por isso, apenas confie nele. Segue um short que me fez refletir para você pensar, meu irmão: https://t.co/flHpVktHTt

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@AugustoBackes outro dia, você comentou sobre pessoas te trairem, te entendo. "Maldito homem que confia no homem". Mas irmão, leia este texto e reflita e deixe seu coração leve, sem culpas ou mágoas. Fica com Deus

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

Bom dia meu irmão @AugustoBackes, essa mensagem me tocou e senti no coração de enviar para você. É um print de um livro que tem transformado a minha vida no evangelho. Fique com Deus.

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

https://t.co/xVmG0LvvsR

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@AugustoBackes & @joaohazim . Mestres. Poderia ser um dos motivos a se considerar? https://t.co/zA8O1FjkOn

[David @david_eng_mba]

The $415M Gamma Flush: Why The Next 8 Days Define The Cycle

The narrative isn't just about tomorrow. We are staring down the barrel of a "Double-Barreled" Liquidity Event that will wipe 67% of the entire derivatives board clean by December 26th.

Bitcoin is trading at $88,752, deep in the -25% Value Zone (Trend Value: $118k). The spring is coiled, but two massive structural weights are holding the lid down.

Here is the quantitative roadmap for the next 8 days.

Stage 1: The Spark (Tomorrow, Dec 19)
$128 Million in Gamma expires tomorrow (21% of total).

This is the "Appetizer." It removes the immediate suppression pinning us below $90k.

Watch the $90,616 flip level. If we clear this, the intraday shackles fall off.

Stage 2: The Floodgate (Next Friday, Dec 26)
$287 Million in Gamma expires next week.

The Magnitude: This is the "Main Event." A staggering 46.2% of all dealer gamma exposure sits on this single date.

The Reality: This is nearly 2.5x larger than tomorrow's expiry. It is the "Boss Level" ceiling. Dealers have a quarter-billion-dollar incentive to keep volatility crushed and price pinned near $85k-$90k through Christmas to harvest this premium.

The "Gamma Flush" Thesis

When you combine these two dates, $415,000,000 of gamma two-thirds of the entire market structure evaporates in the next 8 days.

Before Dec 26: The market is fighting through thick mud. Every rally is sold by dealers hedging that massive $287M book. Expect "max pain" chop.
After Dec 26: The mud dries up. The suppression mechanism is gone. The **Power Law gravity ($118k) takes over without the dealer counter-flow.

We are in a "Clearing Window."
The price action might feel frustratingly pinned between $85k and $90k for the next week as dealers defend that $287M Dec 26 pile. But this is a trap for impatient bears.

Once that $415M aggregate pin releases, the structural suppression for Q1 2026 is gone. The path to the $100k-$118k vacuum opens up the moment the Christmas expiry settles.

Jan 1st: Aggressive (The Wall is Gone).

Building another gamma wall is like building a skyscraper. When the lease ends (expiry), you can't just snap your fingers and have a new skyscraper appear next door. It takes time and money to rebuild. Nobody will want to spend ~$700M in one day just to keep Bitcoin boring.

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

Conteúdo de altíssimo rigor e qualidade. Uma referência no Brasil, parabéns pelo projeto e o Canal. Ensina de verdade, 👏👏👏👏.

ESTUDO APROFUNDADO NO YOUTUBE DO LIVRO DE BARRA A BARRA DO MESTRE AL BROOKS - https://t.co/sgbOyOrBat… com o mestre Leandro Oliveira Paiva

[rafonsoyhp381 @rafonsoYHP381]

@0xCVYH Major que Deus te abençoe e continue trazendo mais notícias assim (boas notícias), pois você é um cara do bem. 👊