TraderR

Former Futures & Options broker turned indy trader and writer. I write about the U.S. financial markets for wealth managers and trade $SPX, /ES, /GC & /ZN.

[TraderR @rafstack]

2/3 my downside put flies on $SPX
at 2.2X. Still holding plenty of put fly deltas on SPX. Partial outside market hedges via /GC vertical short-dated put spreads and long puts /ZN a bit further out. The 200 day MA be in store for these two risk assets should the 50-day MA not hold

[TraderR @rafstack]

@DiMartinoBooth Always love seeing you on @cvpayne - "wrong" metric or "narrative-feeding / narrative supporting" metric?

[TraderR @rafstack]

It's about time for a short vol fund or 2 to blowup soon

[TraderR @rafstack]

They're all "#nanopullbacks" until they aren't. Long overdue for some volatility. #StockMarket #Bitcoin

[TraderR @rafstack]

@cvpayne

[TraderR @rafstack]

Bonds bid all morning, May volatility bid all morning too - risk assets off - most likely move is to 200-day MAs across many assets #stockmarkets #cryptomarket #SPX #bitcoin

[TraderR @rafstack]

@cvpayne

[TraderR @rafstack]

Could be incoming #blackswan

[TraderR @rafstack]

Careful out there #cryptocurrency traders - volatility will most likely surge further making leveraged trades impossible in both directions. Keep lev low or nonexistent.Have a beer or smoke a J instead.
#cryptocurrency #btc #bitcoin #solana #alts #trading
https://t.co/jH7qlykZEU

[TraderR @rafstack]

@bennyjohnson Well articulated - just enough to spur that "attack" which was well defended and create a spending bill. Higher inflation coming! "Don't!"

[TraderR @rafstack]

@JackieDeAngelis Hey Jackie - love watching you on The Big Money Show! Enjoy your weekend with your pup! Next week is gonna be a busy one for ya!

Keep up the great works.

[TraderR @rafstack]

@cvpayne #BTCUSD off by ~7% today so far

[TraderR @rafstack]

1/2 Bitcoin's weekend trading can be a great gauge for the short-term direction of risk assets the next week. #BTCUSD just broke its 50-day MA with conviction as the Iran offensive on Israel seems imminent. Could the 200-day SMA be next?

https://t.co/T0XqrSLM9q

[TraderR @rafstack]

2/2 $BTCUSD:
50-Day SMA ~ 66,483
200-Day SMA ~ 46,046 / coincides with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement from Jan lows.

$SPX should be volatile next week.
50-Day SMA ~5111
200-Day SMA ~4659

#Bitcoin #cryptocurrency #SPX500 #IranAttack #StockMarket

[TraderR @rafstack]

Typo: $SPX 50-day SMA is ~ 5111.

[TraderR @rafstack]

1/3 $SPX closed 12 handles above the 50 Day SMA (~4111 CBOE) after touching it. BTCUSD also touched the 50-day SMA ($66,243 Coinbase) and trades about 650 points higher than it at the time of writing.

"They" don't make it easy to capture the OTM exposure ever - ha. - covered 7%

[TraderR @rafstack]

@cvpayne Could be an interesting Retail Sales print on Monday...

[TraderR @rafstack]

https://t.co/wz7EfViIiP

[TraderR @rafstack]

3/3 next week. Gold / GC a very interesting daily candle. #SPX #SPX500 #GOLD #GC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #StockMarket #Cryptocurency

https://t.co/wz7EfViIiP

https://t.co/EXKTMiUoIW

[TraderR @rafstack]

@brian_armstrong RIP Coinbase