rakfilin

I love sport and fitness

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

WOW this is an insane result

[V1nT @unvint]

Polymarket trader turned a huge drawdown into a $2.65M profit

Two months ago, his account was deeply in the red, and most traders would have stopped trading

Instead, he doubled down and became systematic

See for yourself: https://t.co/PCtF8KhYHV

Now he's up $2.65M in profit

Here's the interesting part:

These aren't random bets

It's similar to a strategy of collecting probabilities in the politics and football markets

> A total of 631 predictions

> Capital invested: approximately $4M

> Biggest win: $1.4M

But his real advantage lies in his trading style

In football markets, he repeatedly buys "NO" on clear favorites

> Atalanta to win the Champions League "NO" at 99.8¢

> Tottenham to win the UCL "NO" at 99.7¢

> Bodø/Glimt to win the Champions League "NO" at 98.5¢

Because "NO" covers all other outcomes

In tournaments with dozens of teams, favorites are often overvalued by fans

He also incorporates political liquidity into his trades

1.6M shares on the 2028 J.D. Vance nomination at around 50¢

Huge size, tight spread, positioning purely on probability

Result:

A brutal drawdown -> followed by a recovery wave of over $2M

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@unvint @PolymarketSport @zscdao It's not predictable, how did you bet on the underdog?

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

It seems funny, but on the other hand, football is played by professionals and to behave like this is certainly something else

[V1nT @unvint]

WHAT WAS THAT?

The situation at the end of the Championship match between Preston and Portsmouth

> Actor of the Year?
> Acrobat?

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@unvint @PolymarketSport @zscdao I envy your patience. How much have you been betting with such peace of mind?

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

Thanks for the match analysis, it's become much easier to place bets now that I have an understanding and a general assessment

[V1nT @unvint]

Serie A. Roma vs. Milan

I don't see a favorite in this match. I see two trainers in this match who like to keep a clean sheet

Polymarket also rates all three main events almost equally, which could indicate a dull game

ROM - YES - 35¢, DRAW - 33¢, MIL - YES - 34¢

> Roma have scored two goals in each of last five matches

> An away win could practically eliminate the home team from the title race

Both clubs are also locked in the Champions League race

> Milan's only setbacks since August have come in cup competitions

> Milan have scored in their last six matches.

I expect a boring game and will most likely skip this match

@PolymarketSport, what do you think?

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@unvint @zscdao @PolymarketBlitz Why is no one considering a draw?

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@unvint @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade I'm sure Napoli will put up a fight away from home, but they won't be able to win

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@kisoid82 @PolyBaddies @Polymarket @shayne_coplan @PolymarketTrade @zscdao GM Legend

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@kisoid82 @polycases Nice Nadi

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[rakfilin @rakfilin]

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[rakfilin @rakfilin]

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[rakfilin @rakfilin]

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[rakfilin @rakfilin]

))))

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

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[rakfilin @rakfilin]

@Memeland GM

[rakfilin @rakfilin]

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