Big Papa Llama ( formerly A. Raley)

[MartyParty @martypartymusic]

IMO: If this war was real Gold would not be dropping. It would be rising.

IMO: Forced Monetary Expansion using the war narrative.

[Big Papa Llama ( formerly A. Raley) @raley_adrian]

@FaithfulDude10 Dude, I am having the same emotions.
Praying for you, may God strengthen you

[Big Papa Llama ( formerly A. Raley) @raley_adrian]

@StoneKamino Praying for you

[Dustin @FaithfulDude10]

My son had his checkup this morning at Cincinnati children's hospital and his mom messaged and told me that all of his results were perfect and it was like looking at a child that never had a bone marrow transplant
I give all glory and praise to God for healing my son and everything being okay

[Big Papa Llama ( formerly A. Raley) @raley_adrian]

@farmingandJesus Same thing for me, last 3 months
Praying for you

[Satoshi Flipper @SatoshiFlipper]

Sucks for tariff advocates but extremely positive for stocks and crypto. The Supreme Court just unlocked a huge liquidity tsunami 🌊🌊🌊

[RunnerXBT @RunnerXBT]

idk who needs to hear this, but

waiting for illiquid weekend to dump 9-10 figures of spot, while avoiding purposefully work days and or green candles to sell into

is by design and on purpose

[Crypto Fergani @cryptofergani]

So many are saying the bear market has officially begun.

No. The bear market is almost over.

And I really think crypto is going to shock everyone this cycle.

I bet my entire life, 10yrs worth of research & entire net worth on this moment.

I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come.

The masses do not see this.

When I look at the business cycle… What the US dollar is doing…what Trump is doing…the stimulus that’s coming after years of prolonged draining…What metals are doing. The new FED chair…

Institutional interest in crypto. Retail distributing to big money. The Clarity Act, etc..

Understand that, and you beat 95% of investors.

You all deserve what’s about to happen.

If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

[Satoshi Flipper @SatoshiFlipper]

$BTC/usdt DAILY

All it would take is a $20k pump over $90k for half of CT to start deleting all their bear market bottom calculations 😏

[Killa @KillaXBT]

Not sure what happened over the past 48H but my followers doubled.

Wild.

[MartyParty @martypartymusic]

Solana Valuation - Feb 9 update by @david_eng_mba

* Spot price: $87
* Power-law fair value: $156
* Gap: -$70
* Discount to fair value: -44.6%
* Z-score: -0.65 (oversold)

Model fit (R²) and robustness

* Power-law fit: R² = 0.6792

* Interpretation: the long-run trend explains about 68% of in-sample log-price variation (descriptive fit).
* Residual autocorrelation: AR(1) = 0.997

* Interpretation: residuals are highly persistent, so naive OLS significance is unreliable.
* Parameter stability:

* Rolling slope range: -3.245 to 5.807
* Rolling R² range: 0.022 to 0.854
* Interpretation: fit is regime-sensitive, not fully stable through time.
* Predictive correlation robustness (1-year horizon):

* Overlapping correlation: r = -0.7277, R² = 0.5296 (descriptive only; overlapping windows inflate effective sample).
* Block bootstrap (90-day blocks): mean r ≈ -0.807, 95% CI [-0.9096, -0.6548]
* Interpretation: direction (oversold tends to outperform) is robust in dependent-data resampling.

Forecast and forecast robustness

* Mean-reversion half-life: 133 days
* Drift/snap-back path (model-implied):

* ~133 days: ~$135
* ~266 days: ~$166
* 1-year forecast (naive Z-only): +1819%

* Not robust for forward use (dominated by early-era outliers and dependence effects).
* 1-year forecast (maturity-adjusted, preferred):

* Expected return: +51%
* 68% PI: -29% to +219%
* 95% PI: -66% to +574%
* R² (maturity-adjusted): 0.8415 vs 0.5296 for Z-only (in-sample improvement +31.2 percentage points).
* Key constraint on confidence:

* Independent long-horizon sample is very small (about 4 non-overlapping 365d periods), so magnitude precision is low even when directional signal looks strong.

Bottom line
* Valuation: materially below trend (-44.6%).
* Outlook: positive skew with high uncertainty.
* Robustness: directional mean-reversion signal is reasonably robust; point forecast magnitude is not highly robust.

@solana

[MartyParty @martypartymusic]

Whales have been accumulating massive amounts of Bitcoin during the recent drop.

On February 6th, 66.94k #BTC in-flowed to accumulator addresses, marking the largest inflow amount in this cycle.

[BRITISH HODL ❤️‍🔥🐂❤️‍🔥 @BritishHodl]

@GordonGekko Literally everything is turning bullish… and every moron is bearish.

[Satoshi Flipper @SatoshiFlipper]

It's time to pay close attention

[MartyParty @martypartymusic]

Binance Liquidation Map shows shorts have turned long.

[Satoshi Flipper @SatoshiFlipper]

Lovely $10k reaction for BTC after tapping $60k, this is exactly what you want to see for the bottom. People telling you we're going lower is cope, they were too scared to buy last night and think BTC will just conveniently give them another $60k re-entry. Good luck w that, if $60k was truly bottom, then back up we go 🎯

[SimplisticChartsJoe @SimplisticGains]

#Bitcoin price action- we're about to get a massive violent bounce/ rally to the upside very soon 😎

[CTO Larsson @ctoLarsson]

Exactly what we want to see with Larsson Line blue in
#Bitcoin

The lower the better!

Blue cap on 🧢

[Fred Krueger @dotkrueger]

@milesdeutscher its a bottom

[MartyParty @martypartymusic]

Liquidation Map - Ive never seen it this skewed short before. Literally no longs remain. 83m to $65000 and $28b shorts to $109k.