Ramses Aguirre

Building Al tools to test trading ideas.
Focused on premarket edges, multi-TF confluence, and LLM/SLM research.
Day trader at the NYC open.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

$BTC → Short-term Long Bias, but still Bearish overall

Trading below EMA50. First resistance at 64,700 (July 6 high). Next targets if it breaks: EMA50 (~65,385) and BB Top (~66,253).

EMA200 sits far above at ~75,068 — big gap to fill. Still a lot of work to do for a real bullish reversal.

Status: Cautious short-term long

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

Daily Market Divergence Check – July 10, 2026

Starting with $YM (Dow Futures): Clear internal divergence forming.
Recent daily highs (lower every session):

Jul 7: 53,656
Jul 8: 53,207
Jul 9: 52,865
Jul 10: 52,767

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

$ES (S&P 500 Futures) → Bullish Bias, but in short-term range

Price has been consolidating the last 6 days, but remains above all major EMAs on the daily chart → overall bullish structure intact.

To confirm continuation: Need to break Monday’s high and push toward 7,648 – 7,657 zone (recent highs + BB Top).

Status: Bullish bias

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

The final decision still has to survive live conditions at 9:30 NYC. AI can help with the preparation. Judgment carries it from there.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

Most people chase AI for signals. I use it to keep my premarket read consistent and to review what I got right or wrong after the open. That review loop matters more than any model.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

Bad process + AI just means you make mistakes faster and more confidently. The tool doesn’t fix the foundation.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

@tradingjip There is nothing “bullish” in your chart other than the lines you drew

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

I don’t use AI to tell me what to buy or sell. I use it to organize the market environment so my judgment has something solid to work with.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

@TedPillows We are going to 28k again, we are below all heavy EMA on Monthly Chart, this looks really bad

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

By the time you reach the open, you’re already dealing with conflicting signals across timeframes. That’s where structure becomes more useful than any prediction.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

@MEXIT_trades Not really. EMAs are part of my process, but my core strategy isn’t ICT — it’s my own pullback system based on Bollinger structure, key levels, and multi-timeframe confirmation. But yeah, I think we were seeing the same thing. It was a great call and a really solid attempt.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

AI does not replace judgment in trading. It helps me build better context before I have to make the call.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

Putting it all together — macro picture right now:

Equities: mixed. $ES structure is clean and just flipped MACD bullish.
$YM cooling off after tagging new highs (indecision candle). $NQ stuck in a triangle, no direction yet.

$ZB (bonds) breaking down — yields likely rising, consistent with risk-on equity flow.

$GC fighting EMA20 resistance, bullish rotation active but far from confirmed.

$BTC bullish on the daily but already fading on the hourly — long-term structure still bearish (death cross intact).

Net read: equities lead, bonds sell off, gold undecided, crypto fragile. Risk-on tilt, but far from clean across the board.

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

$YM at all-time highs. Euphoria mode — every EMA trending up, SAR bullish.

But that last daily candle closed right at the open after tagging a new ATH (53400). Classic indecision after a run.

MACD positive but weak. Volume decreasing on the way up.

Lose 53162 → pullback to EMA9 (~52610)
No "up" confirmed until 53400 breaks again

🧵

[Ramses Aguirre @ramsaguirre]

$BTC — daily rotation EMA3/EMA9 bullish, price holding above EMA20. MACD just closed its 4th straight positive histogram.

But that's where the good news ends. EMA50 and EMA200 sit way above with a massive gap between them — death cross fully in effect, hard to unwind fast.

Last month's high (74092) is completely outside the Bollinger range — not reachable near-term.

Hourly already rotating back bearish. BTC looks fragile under the surface.