Alberta Dude

Husband, father, entrepreneur, and a freedom loving libertarian-conservative.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

Clearly you haven't been seeing the size of the rallies, and crowds and huge lines at petition signings. There was nothing like this level of enthusiasm or excitement last summer at the "Stay in Canada" Petition signings.

Let me do some simple math for you, to show you that saying it is "not possible" is short sighted.

The last Provincial election, 1.7M Albertans voted. The last Federal election 2.2M Albertans voted.

The "Stay in Canada" petition garnered a little over 456K signatures. This was in summer, where being outdoors and waiting in long line ups was comfortable, of which there were never widespread video evidence of lineups anywhere.

The https://t.co/3Rr2W1W6Q9 movement, is collecting thousands of signatures a day in the middle of winter (estimated between 5K-8K signatures daily). If these numbers hold, then we can expect somewhere in the range of 480K-960K signatures by the end of April. Despite these numbers, the internal goal is to collect well over 1M.

Assuming these numbers hold, and are a statistical sampling of the will of Albertans, then we can expect the following in the fall if a vote to secede is added to referendum:

Low Range:
Stay: 48.72%
Leave: 51.28%

High Range:
Stay: 32.2%
Leave: 67.8%

Obviously there are unknown factors, like propaganda, smear campaigns, Ottawa based sabotage, political interference, etc. that could tilt the scales.

However, purely based on the math and assuming the process is not interfered with, saying "it is not possible" is foolish.

Another tell, will be when left wing politicians begin to amp up their smear tactics and rhetoric. This will be a signal that they are nervous, because their internal numbers will be reflecting the above.

The truest tell however, will be at the end of April when the movement presents their final petition counts.

If there are over 1M signatures, the betting odds will be well in the favour of independence.

[Jeffrey Rath @JeffreyRWRath]

@xllenial @cody_willi65206 @ABDanielleSmith Don’t forget that Alberta over contributions to CPP and our share of that fund is over 365 Billion.

Let’s face it - Dani’s people don’t do math. If they did Carney wouldn’t have been able to screw them so badly on the Carbon Tax MOU.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@CoryBMorgan Let's GO!!!!!!!!

[Cory Morgan @CoryBMorgan]

Billboard ads are running.

The TPA is rocking.

[Yukon Strong 🫎 @YukonStrong]

Watching England today I honestly don't know how to impress the urgency upon Albertans more strongly

You must #WEXIT. The UK nightmare will soon be here.

If you stay, you will be living in a censored, fascist, institutionally racist state within 10 years.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@CanadaGoose911 Yeah, definitely not anyone with an IQ above 80.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@CTVCalgary Fire them.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@CTVNews GOOD.

About time we stopped wasting money on this BULLSHIT.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@furmsies Tell me you're a retard that doesn't understand the series of events that took place to obstruct the independence movement, without telling me. ☝️

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@SickKidsNews Leave the kids ALONE! You bunch of perverts.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@berdyn That's because you're retarded.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@guyfelicella The soon to be FREE Republic of Alberta.

ALBERTA INDEPENDENCE ALL THE WAY!

[Keith Wilson @ikwilson]

Alberta’s Treasurer @JasonNixonAB says he doesn’t know how Alberta would sell its oil if Alberta were a new country.

The answer seems obvious: the same way we sell it now — private producers, contracts, pipelines, ports, and global buyers.

Only it would be easier, more profitable, and more beneficial to Albertans without Bill C-69 holding our industry back, or carbon taxes, and Net Zero/Pathways nonsense wasting taxpayer dollars.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@beachmagoo The Government Sucks at Everything.

Ottawa should just make the economic conditions in Alberta attractive enough that the private sector handles these projects entirely without 'state planning' or intervention, like a damned communist country.

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@CTVCalgary They're right.

Danielle Smith is lying on behalf of her puppet masters in Ottawa.

Alberta Independence ALL THE WAY!

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@nenshi Jeezus, this guy is such a train wreck 🤣

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

@globeandmail The day that propagandist rags like The Globe and Mail are defunded, will be the day we will know that Canada is finally free.

[Jeffrey Rath @JeffreyRWRath]

This tracks VERY closely to our estimated transition costs in the VALUE OF FREEDOM.

[Jeffrey Rath @JeffreyRWRath]

BREAKING 🚨

Premier Smith says "transition costs for an independent Alberta could be as much as $400 billion."

2 studies have already been done. The London School of Economics says…

"In the Canada-Quebec case, cost estimates of institutional restructuring ranged from .40% to 1% of GDP."

https://t.co/b5RDtMrD1r

The Scotland independence debate is the most thoroughly researched modern case of a wealthy, developed region contemplating separation from a larger federation.
Professor Patrick Dunleavy of the LSE concluded that Scotland's voters could be relatively sure that total transition costs over a decade would lie in a restricted range, from 0.4% of GDP up to a maximum of 1.1%.

https://t.co/x3BeKQFIoq

Alberta's GDP is approximately $473.9 billion CAD (2024). Applying the research range directly:
0.4% of GDP = $1.9 Billion
1.0% of GDP = $4.7 Billion
1.1% of GDP = $5.2 Billion

@ABDanielleSmith is fibbing again!!

[Alberta Dude @random_pcp]

This is what's so funny about you low information, low IQ Elbowzos. You think anyone that supports independence is a 'ditch billy' (whatever the hell that even means anyway).

Independence supporters come in all genders, shapes, colors, and from all walks of life. Hence why support is strong.

I myself am a self-made multi-millionaire, a business owner, a father, and born and raised in Alberta, with post-secondary education. So successful by most metrics.

I've worked hard to get to where I am, and was blessed to grow up in the most pro-business, low tax, entrepreneurial province in the country.

Despite this, it's really about where the country is being led, and the fact that we would be MUCH better off by going in a different direction.

When you actually look at the numbers, there is NO scenario where Alberta isn't much better off independent.

Here's a challenge for you. Name ONE logical reason, Alberta would be better off staying, other than your 'feelings' and nostalgia for a country that once was that no longer exists.

Go ahead, i'll wait.