RD_Observer

"Observing global signals. Geopolitics through a layman's lens. Tech enthusiast. Unfiltered takes."

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

Les violations se poursuivent chaque jour au Liban. Pourtant, l'Iran a accepté un cessez-le-feu temporaire. Les deux semaines de trêve sont terminées, et l'Iran déclare qu'il ripostera à toute agression. Cela signifie qu'il accepte toujours le cessez-le-feu temporaire, alors que les États-Unis ont à nouveau annoncé un cessez-le-feu unilatéral.

Un blocus naval constitue déjà une agression, donc je ne sais pas. Enfin, l'Iran a confondu le sens de « préventif » : reprendre les actions après le cessez-le-feu temporaire est ce que l'Iran considère comme préventif lorsqu'il dit qu'il ripostera à toute agression. Par conséquent, l'Iran a bel et bien accepté le cessez-le-feu temporaire.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

@FurkanGozukara China’s AI labs are taking US giants head-on. Qwen 3.7 Max, MiniMax M3, GLM 5.2 & Kimi 2.7 are crushing benchmarks with open-weights, 1M+ context, and elite reasoning agents at a fraction of the cost. Silicon Valley's monopoly is officially over.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

Europe is mostly beautiful architecture for visitors and stone age for the people from high-tech smart cities (Japan, China, South Korea) etc. I can’t imagine this set-up in town of Avignon - mist falling from crumbling old buildings of 2 floors. However the town is beautiful and historical.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

1. This world has become more lawless than ever. It is a lawless jungle. It is run by some countries in a mafia style. They can kill millions with their sanctions. The thieves are the cops.

2. Iran formally complained. I think it makes no sense when the opposition is America. The IMF, UN, etc.—name it—they are all under the control of US thugs.

3. Additionally, Pak operate as a US puppet, and this setup is being used just to buy time. The Pak PM literally nominated Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize (last year). That alone reveals the mentality and true alignment. There was a coup in Pakistan with the help of America against PM Imran Khan as he was not ready to surrender to the US. Also they had best relations with Afghanistan at that moment and now we know….

4. Board of Peace: Core State Signatories & Members
Out of more than 60 countries invited, over 25 states formally accepted membership or signed the founding charter. The most prominent regional and international signatories include:

United States (Initiating power)
Israel
Saudi Arabia
Egypt
Qatar
United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Turkey (Türkiye)
Jordan
Other signers include: Indonesia, Bahrain, Kazakhstan, Morocco, Kuwait, Pakistan, Argentina, Hungary, and Vietnam.

Executive Board & Key Individual Signatories
Donald Trump (Chairman-for-life)
Marco Rubio (US Secretary of State)
Jared Kushner (Strategic/Investment Planner)
Steve Witkoff (US Special Envoy to the Middle East)
Tony Blair (Former UK Prime Minister and international mediator)
Nickolay Mladenov (High Representative for Gaza)
Ajay Banga (President of the World Bank Group)
Marc Rowan (CEO of Apollo Global Management)

5. Conclusion: why point 4 is relevant—the enormous efforts we see from Qatar and Pakistan in Iran negotiations but never looked back to enforce the ceasefire in Gaza (no timely condemnation). Reason: a) Iran is full of rich resources b) Iran’s geography is blessed by God for economies. c) Those 40 days proved Iran is a regional power and will take on any superpower.
In short Pak and Qatar see big benefits in Iran. And in my opinion - I don’t trust both, especially Pak is not a serious player while Qatar leverages money for influence.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

MoU violations 👇

[Arya Yadeghaar (Backup) @AryJeayBackup]

Status of the end-of-war MoU — Day 13

• Iran’s oil sanction relief has been implemented, and part of the money from oil sales has been transferred to Iran’s central banks.

• Iranian ships are passing through the naval blockade.

• None of Iran’s frozen funds have been released so far. (Violation of clause 11)

• The Omani-US corridor in the Strait of Hormoz is active. (Violation of clause 5)

• US forces & equipment in the region are increasing, and the USS Boxer has also been sent toward West Asia. (Violation of clauses 2 and 9)

• US officials continue to threaten Iran. (Violation of clauses 1 and 2)

• War & occupation in Lebanon are continuing intensely. (Violation of clauses 1 and 13)

• The US Vice President (JD Vance) described the goal of the MoU not as ending the war, but as preparing for what will happen next (war). (Violation of clauses 1, 2, 13, and 14)

• The Persian Gulf Cooperation Council denied any investment for Iran’s reconstruction. (Violation of clause 6)

[Arya Yadeghaar (Backup) @AryJeayBackup]

Status of the end-of-war MoU — Day 13

• Iran’s oil sanction relief has been implemented, and part of the money from oil sales has been transferred to Iran’s central banks.

• Iranian ships are passing through the naval blockade.

• None of Iran’s frozen funds have been released so far. (Violation of clause 11)

• The Omani-US corridor in the Strait of Hormoz is active. (Violation of clause 5)

• US forces & equipment in the region are increasing, and the USS Boxer has also been sent toward West Asia. (Violation of clauses 2 and 9)

• US officials continue to threaten Iran. (Violation of clauses 1 and 2)

• War & occupation in Lebanon are continuing intensely. (Violation of clauses 1 and 13)

• The US Vice President (JD Vance) described the goal of the MoU not as ending the war, but as preparing for what will happen next (war). (Violation of clauses 1, 2, 13, and 14)

• The Persian Gulf Cooperation Council denied any investment for Iran’s reconstruction. (Violation of clause 6)

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

@GBC_Press I have a great invention and business idea in my mind. How about someone developing a truth vaccination? We can already have first trial, if it works on him. It will be a success on anybody in the 🌍

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

@IranObserver0 It starts on Saturday early morning in Iran. Probably 72 hours from now.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

I believe technically there is no fatwa now.
If they are still following Supreme leader Ali Khameni's fatwa on this then,
My argument is - why not following his path and wisdom completely? Why selectively? As I can see how honourable is this MoU? In 12-13 days. Closing on 2 weeks - US paid Iran 6 billion atleast 6 times. Sometimes in Corns and Soyabeans.
The MoU was rushed when Muharram was starting. It was simply a birthday present. And it could not wait untill the last rites.
Though the MoU - it's already violated many times but I am also questioning the honour and timing of Iran officials for a nation which is deeply inspired by (Karbala).

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

@fresh_sadegh I am not able to understand. Avenge How? And When? Nowdays, I only hear about the MOU and by chance it converts to a deal then? 0.000001% and I understand even Ghalibaf mentioned purchases?

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

@Ms_Iranian How about a News channel on telegram and Upscrolled as well?

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

Please follow @Ms_Iranian on Facebook 👍

[Iranian Observer @Ms_Iranian]

Keeping a backup plan ready. Follow my new Facebook page so we stay connected even if X decides to ban this account.
Please hit repost and show some love over on FB!

Link: https://t.co/QEEIiTMB3u

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

I couldn’t get many people to understand this: the blind followers of the MoU. They take it offensively, as if we have personal grudges against Iranian diplomats. Any critical question irritates them and turns into a guilt trap for us. For them, either we accept every word from Iranian officials or we are warmongers. JD Vance isn’t even hiding it, and Trump issues threats and insults from time to time. I haven’t even mentioned what Israel is doing. They heard Ghalibaf yesterday; he is waiting for the MoU commitments and many clauses to be honored. They don’t see that either.

They say the withdrawal in Lebanon didn’t happen because of the Lebanese regime. When has this regime ever worked for its own people? Never. The fact people need to grasp is that the MoU was already signed before the Lebanese agreement, hence it was treason and betrayal by the US, which automatically invalidates this MoU. It’s like selling one apartment to two parties at the same time. A war will always end with diplomacy, but the leverage depends on timing. They rushed into this fake MoU on Trump's birthday.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

@Partisan_12 Supreme leader Ali Khamenei served as the third president of Iran from 1981 to 1989. After his presidency, he became the country's Supreme Leader in 1989.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

He’s been complicit in these massacres for over 2 years while doing nothing but barking in Parliament. Never forget he is the one who paved the path for terrorists in Syria. I despise the old man to my core. He is not even worth the criticism. He is complicit in the bloodbath while selling Baku oil. His speeches are not worth a dime.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

He looks evil from his face, period.

[Megatron @Megatron_ron]

🇺🇸🇮🇱Palantir CEO Alex Karp:

“I am the most publicly supportive CEO of Israel, and that's true.

I think Israel is on the side of good.”

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

Without a doubt, once Trump is done with the manipulation of markets. They are buying some time to re-group as Iran completely surprised them with its retaliation. I understand there is election in Israel in the coming months.

[Sulaiman Ahmed @ShaykhSulaiman]

JUST IN: ISRAEL’S KATZ SAYS ISRAEL COULD STRIKE IRAN FOR A THIRD TIME SOON

[Arya Yadeghaar (Backup) @AryJeayBackup]

Netanyahu:

Iran tried to force us to withdraw from southern Lebanon, but this will not happen.

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

It was always crystal clear to me.

[Megatron @Megatron_ron]

NEW: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump considering to return to all-out war with Iran, per WSJ

[RD_Observer @rd_observer]

I couldn’t get many people to understand this: the blind followers of the MoU. They take it offensively, as if we have personal grudges against Iranian diplomats. Any critical question irritates them and turns into a guilt trap for us. For them, either we accept every word from Iranian officials or we are warmongers. JD Vance isn’t even hiding it, and Trump issues threats and insults from time to time. I haven’t even mentioned what Israel is doing. They heard Ghalibaf yesterday; he is waiting for the MoU commitments and many clauses to be honored. They don’t see that either.

They say the withdrawal in Lebanon didn’t happen because of the Lebanese regime. When has this regime ever worked for its own people? Never. The fact people need to grasp is that the MoU was already signed before the Lebanese agreement, hence it was treason and betrayal by the US, which automatically invalidates this MoU. It’s like selling one apartment to two parties at the same time. A war will always end with diplomacy, but the leverage depends on timing. They say they believed in the martyred Imam Ali Khameni—his funeral rites are still pending—and the MoU execution was rushed during Muharram for announcement on Trump’s birthday. This is just an emotional reason. Iranian officials countered that some clauses have to be adhered to first; they flipped. Additionally, while the meeting was ongoing, Trump was threatening, which was again part of the MoU. Where is the honour? I could go on with technical things, but this would become too long, and people don’t like reading long posts.