SimpleTrading

#simpletrader - swing & day trader, investor in businesses and real estate, traveller, reader and contributor...

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$DDOG moving up on right side ....

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$HPE blue sky BO to watch, if BO's still work...

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$OSCR needs more time ....

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$ARM focus for week, move to test 300 ...

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$ZBRA room to 400 ....

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$HALO biotech giving some setups...

[SimpleTrading @reader20]

$TGTX finally setting up ..

[Trading Composure @TradingComposur]

Worst outcome if you fail at trading:

Save up again. Try again.

The best outcome if you succeed:

You get to design the life of your dreams.

It's an excellent asymmetric bet if you ask me.

Little-to-no downside.

Massive upside.

[Trading Composure @TradingComposur]

In life, and in trading, the game continues after a loss.

Don't linger too much on what is lost.

Get back up and try again.

[ETF Tracker @TheETFTracker]

Here are the Vanguard ETFs outperforming the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF $VOO over the last year:

🥇 Vanguard Energy ETF $VDE +46.09%
🥈 Vanguard Information Technology ETF $VGT +38.91%
🥉 Vanguard FTSE Pacific ETF $VPL +38.80%
4. Vanguard US Multifactor ETF $VFMF +32.77%
5. Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF $VTWV +30.13%
6. Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF $VYMI +30.06%
7. Vanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF $VONV +29.67%
8. Vanguard US Value Factor ETF $VFVA +28.57%
9. Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF $VEA +27.79%
10. Vanguard Health Care ETF $VHT +27.61%
11. Vanguard ESG International Stock ETF $VSGX +27.53%
12. Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF $VIOV +26.76%
13. Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF $VTWO +26.50%
14. Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF $VEU +26.43%
15. Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF $MGV +26.31%
16. Vanguard US Momentum Factor ETF $VFMO +26.20%
17. Vanguard Total International Stock ETF $VXUS +25.89%
18. Vanguard Value ETF $VTV +25.29%
19. Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF $VIOO +23.98%
20. Vanguard Russell 2000 Growth ETF $VTWG +23.35%
21. Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF $VOOG +22.25%
22. Vanguard Total World Stock ETF $VT +22.12%
23. Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF $VOE +21.98%
24. Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth ETF $VIOG +21.54%
25. Vanguard Mega Cap ETF $MGC +20.96%
26. Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF $VYM +20.68%
27. Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF $VWO +20.49%
28. Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF $VGK +20.36%
29. Vanguard S&P 500 ETF $VOO +20.26%

[The Analyst @MMatters22596]

The entire AI-Infrastructure stack mapped out.

These are the best positioned companies across every layer:

Data centers:
$CRWV
$IREN
$ORCL
Top pick: $NBIS

Connectivity
$AAOI
$ALAB
$LITE
Top pick: $CRDO

Energy
$VST
$FLNC
$EOSE
Top pick: $BE

Supply bottlenecks
$AXTI
$IQE
$COHR
Top pick: $WOLF

Thermal Management
$NVT
$MOD
$PH
Top pick: $VRT

Save this for later use.

[RonnieV @TheRonnieVShow]

I will never shy away of calling it like I see it.

I think mother market is setting another trap.

Saw it on $QQQ in 2025 and earlier in 2026.

History often rhymes. Will not delete if wrong.

[RonnieV @TheRonnieVShow]

I believe Semiconductors and Memory have already hit PEAK EUPHORIA.

Now comes the pain train... and eventually another opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.

It's not that these businesses suddenly stop doing well but that we've already heard it ALL.

AI demand. Data centers. Memory shortages. Pricing power. Partnerships. Massive capex. Insane growth.

Everyone knows the bull case now and when everyone knows the story, owns the story, and expects the story to keep getting better, it gets a lot harder to surprise the market.

I'm not chasing Semis here on this small pump, I don't chase any sector. I buy when there is real FEAR and nobody wants stocks in certain sectors/ themes.

I've done it in Healthcare, Cyber, Software, Financials, and Crypto earlier this year and eventually I'll do it with the semiconductors theme.

[Venu @Venu_7_]

$QQQ has done nothing but consolidate for the past 3-4 months.

War. Higher yields. Fed rate hike. Plenty of reasons to break down - yet it hasn’t.

Weekly 21 EMA continues to hold while price tightens inside the base.

These past few months were the time to study and accumulate strong leaders across software, semis, crypto and other major themes.

The timeline is filled with short-term noise most of the time. Zoom out often and understand the bigger trend and where we are heading.

Consolidation isn’t wasted time. It’s where the next group of leaders gets built.

$RBRK $NOW $PLTR $SNOW $SMTC $AMD $MRVL $NVDA $MU $NBIS $TEM $ANET $BE $INTC $SPCX $U $META $GOOGL $MSFT $WDAY $MDB $ZS $FROG $TEAM $TWLO $HPE $COHU $CBRS $VICR $P $HOOD $CRCL $IBIT $ETHA

[Arvind Srinivas @glocalinvestor]

Key findings and takeaways from AI Infra Summit 2026 (summary by BofA)

Keynotes were given by NVDA, AMD, $INTC , MU, Samsung, SK Hynix, $AVGO , $MRVL , QCOM, OpenAI, $META , AWS, $GOOG $ALAB $RMBS $CRDO . based on this event.

Spend, unchanged:
- Compute isn't the constraint anymore. Memory is, and 2027 is set up tighter than 2026.
- Chip vendors, frontier labs and DC operators all still firmly constructive on infra capex

Memory wall is the real bottleneck:
- Transformer size scales ~240x every 2 years, memory bandwidth/capacity scales ~2x in the same window
- QCOM's HBC stacks LPDDR directly on the compute die: ~200x capacity/watt vs SRAM, ~6x bandwidth/watt vs HBM
- SK Hynix is layering three tiers: PIM (288x capacity/rack vs SRAM), HBF (~10x HBM capacity for long-context), SALT-KV software to route KV cache by temperature across tiers
- Samsung's zHBM chases the same 3D DRAM path

Scaling law shifted from FLOPs to efficiency:
- New metric is tokens/W and tokens/$ for agentic workloads, not raw compute
- $NVDA 's DSX MaxLPS pulls 40% more compute/throughput/revenue from the same power envelope
- The 8GW OpenAI/SB Energy/NVDA Ohio site is the live test case for power co-design

Fungibility beats over-customization:
- Disaggregated prefill/decode silicon is coming, but workload mix shifts too fast to fully specialize hardware around it
- BofA still sees GPUs holding ~70-75% share, ASICs/XPUs the rest

Hardware is outliving its own depreciation schedule:
- $AMZN AWS still rents out 2017-era V100s, GCP is still on 2020 A100s, Google runs 6-10 year old TPUv2-v4 internally
- CUDA and software codesign gains keep stretching useful life well past amortization

BofA's picks are unchanged based on this event.: $NVDA $MRVL $AMD $AVGO $MU $LRCX

My read: Memory-supplier trade has already moved hard on HBM this year. This note says the actual scarcity is shifting one layer down, into capacity-per-watt architecture ( $QCOM HBC, $SKHY PIM/HBF), not just HBM volume. That's a narrower, less crowded trade than the general memory story.

Memory, power or interconnect: which bottleneck actually bites first in 2027?

[Jake Wujastyk @Jake__Wujastyk]

$MU #MU Ready for launch off the volume shelf?

#Sponsored by @gocharting

[Larry Tentarelli, Blue Chip Daily @bluechipdaily]

The FOMC voted 12-0 to hike.

The number of offsides calls we saw over the past wk guaranteeing the Fed won't hike was off the charts.

Warsh has been telegraphing since June:

"tech selling last week, after blowout MU earnings, is the market pricing in a possible Fed hike and rotation".

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Some people take it as a challenge upon themselves to trade a challenging market (i used to do that) and others just take a few steps back and wait.

Usually the latter move comes in with experience, seat time and knowing the effort = reward equation.

We are all in our own little journey's on how we act in those situations. Overtime it becomes easier and easier to just wait for a the fat pitch and not be so involved with every fluctuation thinking you will miss the next big move.

[Larry Tentarelli, Blue Chip Daily @bluechipdaily]

4 industrial sector bellwethers have rolled over to/below the 40-week MA. This is a key sector that bulls will want to see get back on track. $CAT $GE $GEV $RTX

[Andrew Aziz @BearBullTraders]

Trade ideas ahead of FOMC projections + press conference

Hawkish FOMC -> Long $UUP $TBT, Short $QQQ $IWM $ITB $TLT
2Y yield rises roughly 10 bps+, $UUP gains 0.5%+ or higher

Dovish -> Long $TLT $QQQ $IWM $ITB, short $UUP $TBT
2Y falls 10+ bps, $UUP loses 0.5%+