@Peoplewish I have been down this road way too many times and these opportunity costs are tremendous. What would you change in your approach? Thank you
Not buying strength and waiting for pullback can leave you behind in one mkt environment while buying strength can chop you up in a diff. mkt env. Transition in mkt env. is where mistakes are elevated. slowing down when things are not working can help be in sync w/ the env.
The way many of the liquid leading stocks look currently, it is hard to get excited for new trades. Momentum has been missing for a few weeks, choppy price action has picked up, things that ran up and still holding (memory, semi) could use a breather to the very least. noth to do
Shift in mkt momentum is quite evident in the price action of leading stocks (INTC, VRT, GEV, GOOGL, AMD etc.) since the breakneck move from Apr. A sideways digestion would be healthy for the mkt overall. Friday before the long wknd is no time for action. less is more in this mkt
Seeing an obvious pullback coming > selling everything > pullback comes> feeling smart > but then being locked out of the actual face ripping move that follows is equivalent to missing the forest from the trees. the struggle of accepting the near term pain for bigger gain is real
BREAKING: Following Iranian strikes, QatarEnergy may declare force majeure on LNG contracts for up to 5 years.
Qatar currently produces a massive 20% of global LNG supply.
Truth really is that there is only so much you can learn from reading a trading book or watching a video. Real experience comes from your own actions. Things you do wrong, things you do right, being in the arena and by being the decision maker is what shapes you as a trader.
My wife asked me the other night if I wish my trading journey could have been easier. Do I wish I didn't have the large, extended drawdowns over years.
I said while extremely painful and difficult at the time, I wouldn't have it any other way. Once you have been through the gauntlet like that, the self-confidence and self-belief you gain is invaluable.
Most importantly, you know exactly what you did to have that drawdown and know exactly what NOT to do going forward.
@CFlanders7 Spot on Christian. FOMO and regrets can overwhelm traders in high volatility environment leading to trading poorly/not thinking risk first. Taking things gradually and letting positive results drive higher exposure is key here.
Let JPM talk to their friends over at Goldman. Goldman says a crash is coming and you should call your mother. They need to get their stories aligned so they can succeed in their unified mission to help average investors. /s
JPMORGAN: AI FEARS OVERDONE IN SOFTWARE
JPMorgan says the selloff in software stocks is overblown, driven by unrealistic fears of near-term AI disruption. Strategists recommend rotating back into high-quality, AI-resilient names.
They cite strong fundamentals, high switching costs, and positive earnings trends, naming Microsoft and CrowdStrike as beneficiaries. With 2026 earnings growth forecast near 17%, the team sees a rebound opportunity.
$HOOD Is not where the momentum is but opportunities build over time. Price continues to build a base above key $100 price level and, more importantly, at $100B market cap. and now 200 day MA is another key level to watch. An ideal spot will be U&R at the 200 dMA or $100. π
$HOOD I believe question really is whether institutions think it is a $100B stock. So far it has held that mkt valuation and has also stayed above key $100 price level. Chart looks meh overall but a couple of days of strong price action can quickly shift the sentiment. π
Lack of traction and momentum out there. Things are stuck in mud. One day something looks good and the next day gets hit. Start of a new year is almost always volatile- not my environment to trade. Going to continue staying nimble and do far less until I see follow through.
$HOOD I believe question really is whether institutions think it is a $100B stock. So far it has held that mkt valuation and has also stayed above key $100 price level. Chart looks meh overall but a couple of days of strong price action can quickly shift the sentiment. π
$MU top of focus list.
Price above ER HVC (PEG +10% 2.5x vol)
Strong ER and Guided Up
Breakout to ATH after sideways consolidation
Back to back >avg Vol.
$GEV took me out on the ugly Wed candle, but, big picture, stock is still just retesting the breakout lvl. Price above 10/20 EMAs. Secular AI tailwind on power need is unchanged. If mkt continues higher, this would be top of my focus list. Not a fan of yr-end volatility though.
$GEV stock broke out of a multi-mon base to ATH on big vol... Now testing the breakout lvl on declining volume - great overall price action and setup that I like to trade. Already long from the previous post and holding.
Mkt volatility provides oppty. in leading stocks.
$SNDK has one of the better-looking charts at the moment. Strong prior move followed by sideways digestion. $30B mkt cap. Every time mkt pressure lifts this stock looks ready to move. Brutal volatility out there & not many good setups => environment is still not great.
$GEV stock broke out of a multi-mon base to ATH on big vol... Now testing the breakout lvl on declining volume - great overall price action and setup that I like to trade. Already long from the previous post and holding.
Mkt volatility provides oppty. in leading stocks.
$GEV a lot of constructive action. price recovered & holding above key MA & round $600 lvl. $628 looks like a key lvl coinciding w/ Q2 ER HVC and 11/20 reversal bar. Would look for continuation of tighter price action & support on short term MA. Strong theme. Long base.Roll theπ²