🔵 5.06 | M-Point U.S. Daily Brief
AI Leads as Oil Cools; 5% Yield Shadows Growth
· Rally: S&P/Nasdaq ATHs on easing oil; market picks earnings over macro—for now.
· Conflict: 30Y Yield @ 5%+; bond market remains wary of inflation, creating a hurdle for pure valuation plays.
· Shift: From "AI Concept" to "AI Cash Flow." Palantir's dip proves results must be flawless.
· Takeaway: Watch AMD earnings; it defines if the hardware cycle has more room or enters a distribution phase.
Watch: AMD Post-market | 30Y Yield 5% | Brent $105 | BTC $80K
🔵 5.05 | M-Point U.S. Daily Brief
· The Squeeze: Brent @ $114 triggers reflation trades. 10Y Yields hit 4.44%, hitting transport and high-multiple tech.
· The Flip: Gold (-2%) fails as a hedge as rates rise; market is pricing "Reflation" over "Recession."
· Data Hub: ISM Services & JOLTS (10:00 ET) are today's arbiters. Hot data = Higher Yields = Tech Pullback.
· Takeaway: Watch $110 on Brent and 4.45% on 10Y Yield. High oil is the new "Tax" on growth.
Watch: ISM/JOLTS (10:00 ET) | 10Y Yield 4.45% | Brent $110
Geopolitical conflicts continue to escalate.
Seven asset classes worth investors' attention:
🥇 Precious Metals
💵 U.S. Dollar / U.S. Treasuries
🛢️ Traditional Energy
☢️ Nuclear Energy / Uranium
🚀 Defense & Military
🤖 Drones / Cybersecurity
⚡ Defensive Utilities