Buffalo at Ball St, Sacramento St at Central Michigan, and UMass at Toledo Prediction
Ball St +1.5/ML (Lean) -> Model has Ball St by 1.9
Sac St +17.5 (Lean) -> Model has C Mich by 12.4
UMass +14 (Strong Lean) -> Model has Toledo by 5.5
2-1 ATS last night!
No time for a video tonight, 39-28-1 ATS (58.2%) in the last two weeks in our Top 3 Confidence Categories and we have one tonight! UMass +14
Trying to phase out the underdog bias from the last two weeks. Haven't fully done that yet, and don't love to see three underdogs tonight. Careful tonight as we continue to improve the model during the week. I still like UMass +14!
Heard Joel Klatt say UCLA should get credit for a ‘big’ win over Minnesota while he literally mocked the idea Alabama gets extra credit for beating a Kamario-led Mississippi State. He said that on today’s show.
Miss State DRILLED Minnesota. On their home field.
Western Michigan at Akron, Kent St at Bowling Green, and Ohio at Miami (OH) Preview & Prediction Video!
Akron +15.5 (Lean) -> Model has W Michigan by 9.0
Bowling Green -4.5 (Coin Flip) -> Model has Bowling Green by 5.6
Miami (OH) +1.5 (Coin Flip) -> Model has Ohio by 0.8
Last two weeks, our top 3 Confidence Categories have hit at 39-28-1 ATS (58.2%)! Unfortunately, none of these three games tonight classify in our top 3 confidence categories. Careful tonight! There will be better edges later in the week.
https://t.co/ooIAS005X7
NEW: Kentucky TE Mikkel Skinner on Tennessee's crowd noise:
"It was loud, but I started peeping what Tennessee was doing. When they scored, the fans, shit was not nearly as loud. But when we was on third down it was loud because the speakers were pumping fake crowd noise. It’s not real."
https://t.co/Xn1Yq09UWi
Greg Sankey wants announcers to stop criticizing SEC officiating. Maybe he should look at his own conference’s numbers.
Through Week 9 of 2026, SEC replay officials have overturned 88 of 144 reviewed rulings. That’s 61.1%.
For comparison, the Power Five average in a 2022 study was 44.5%.
That’s 16.6 percentage points higher.
And remember, the SEC tracks missed calls, incorrect calls and individual officials’ performance grades but refuses to release that information publicly.
Instead of criticizing announcers for questioning officiating, how about giving fans some transparency @GregSankey?
@TrojanFBx dawg yall only play 9 😭 just like everyone else
glad yall got to start the season with 3 weeks straight of san jose st, fresno st, and louisiana!!