RenInvesting

Growth. Value. Dividends. And Options. Can't pick just one. Works in cybersecurity, BSc in Computer Science. Follow to see my moves.

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

Now that $AMD is up so much i see all the bears come out. I'm here to let you know we're not done yet. https://t.co/i5uciwRT1D

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@QC_Capitals Not the best because of Pagaya dropping, but some options plays kept it from being too bad

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

How much of your portfolio is in $SOFI?

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@valerijatrades1 Very nice!

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$META sold 1 put before the run yesterday to make ~$250, not huge but nice

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@NotA_Bull $MSFT for sure

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@valerijatrades1 $mcd

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$pgy In the last 2 days we got:

-$600M personal loan ABS

- $460M revolving ABS

- Citizens reiterated their $25 price target

Not sure why we are going down but im buying

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

Who bought more $pgy today? Except me

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

The most underrated edge is that almost nobody reads the filings.

Not the headline. The shareholder letter, the call transcript, the 10-Q.

Every time I've sat down with one I've found something that changes the story. A number people are quoting that's a year stale. A management quote that says the opposite of the thread quoting it. A one-time charge everyone is treating as the run rate.

It takes an hour and most people won't spend it. That's the edge.

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@goooonnney Pagaya

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@galkrubiner Congrats Gal!

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

Good day for $CELH

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

Everyone’s writing off $CELH, but the 50% drop comes down to a clear execution mistake while integrating two acquisitions.

Read my full breakdown, thesis, and 3-year valuation model. https://t.co/8oaqD4inkT

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$PGY just can't stop executing. Sold the Nov 20 $18 puts for $1.15. Either I keep the $805 or I own another 700 shares at $16.85. Both work for me.

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$AMD

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

Now that $AMD is up so much i see all the bears come out. I'm here to let you know we're not done yet. https://t.co/i5uciwRT1D

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@allen14696149 Agreed

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

Now that $AMD is up so much i see all the bears come out. I'm here to let you know we're not done yet. https://t.co/i5uciwRT1D

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$PGY Another $600m Personal loans ABS deal, let's go!
https://t.co/IhFhkHlyDG

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@QC_Capitals 95%

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

@CarsonTalkMoney Why trim a winner? We have a long way to go

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$AMD you still have time guys, it's not over

[RenInvesting @renInvesting]

$AMD 𝐢𝐬 𝐠��𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐨 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫 $𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎

Up over 100% this year and I still don't think people are pricing where this goes by 2030.

Data center revenue more than doubled last quarter. Back in November AMD's own long-term target was EPS above $20 within 3-5 years, so by around 2029. On the last call they said they're ahead of that plan and now expect to significantly exceed the $20 number in that same window, not just hit it. They've also raised their own server CPU market estimate three times in under a year. Given that pattern, I wouldn't be surprised if the EPS target gets raised again before 2029.

AMD launched Helios this year, and on paper it beats Nvidia's Vera Rubin rack on memory and compute per dollar, first time that's happened in this whole cycle. Microsoft's already running it on Azure, Anthropic committed up to 2 gigawatts. If AMD actually executes on selling that at scale, not just landing a couple of anchor customers but converting real share, data center could grow well past what's already guided. The tech is there, the demand is there, it's mostly a sales and delivery question from here.

Nvidia still does 10x AMD's revenue, but now AMD has something real to sell against it.

Base case, I'd put EPS somewhere around $30-35 by 2029-2030. Bull case, if the CPU share gains and Helios ramp go as well as some are projecting, EPS could be closer to $40-45. On a 30-35x multiple, even the base case gets you to around $1000.