Surprising to me that Nate would make this mistake! The key fact here is that this margin is WIDER than the previous round of unreleased internals, which were TIGHTER than public polling at the time, and methodology and pollster remain consistent
https://t.co/6spOAge17G
An internal poll showing +4 is not super reassuring given that internal polls typically exaggerate their candidate's standing by 4 points or so. And that's smaller than Platner's lead in most public polls before.
Historically internal polls were a STRONGER signal and more reliable than public polls because they were higher quality + more frequent, but then campaigns started flooding the zone with junk internals (no offense to my friends at **** *** ********) and degraded the signal
Sam is up 900 votes and his election day margins have been consistently stronger than early vote due to late momentum, even in Busse strongholds like Flathead - barring catastrophe, he's got it folks
Despite facing an opponent who had just spent almost $3 million to lose by 20 points statewide in 2024, looks like Sam Forstag will be the nominee in MT-01. Sam is a helluva guy and will be an excellent congressman
Trey Martin understands the struggles of working class people firsthand. He is running a campaign focused on raising wages for working people, expanding healthcare, protecting Social Security and building a strong labor movement.
That’s why I’m proud to endorse him for Congress.
It’s an honor to have former Congressman Brad Carson’s endorsement.
Brad dedicated his career to fighting for Oklahomans, and his leadership and guidance continue to inspire a new generation.
Proud to have him with us as we work to deliver real results for families across OK-05.
Proud to announce our campaign’s endorsement by Senator @BernieSanders!
Senator Sanders has spent decades fighting for working families in Washington and has been one of the loudest, strongest voices in our country’s most important fights – from making the most wealthy in this country pay their fair share, to standing up to corporate power, to bringing down healthcare costs.
I remember sitting on the couch with my wife in 2016, hearing Bernie for the first time. It inspired me to get more involved in my local, to organize and build power for working people in Oklahoma.
He was the first politician who made me truly believe someone in Washington was genuinely committed to standing up for the working class.
It’s a true honor to have his support.
Was proud to stand tonight with @ChrisForPA and @berniesanders — two champions of working-class values — the type we're going to bring to Washington when we flip this district for working families.
Now, let's win this. Vote May 5th!
6 months ago: deciding whether to run, Brian says he's gonna kick ass for the working class
4 months ago: Brian + Tom had to make their own podium for the launch
Tonight: Bernie Sanders spoke at that same podium
Tues: Brian will win the primary
Nov: He's gonna beat Max Miller
I’m in Parma Heights for a Fighting Oligarchy rally with special guests @bpforcongress and @ChrisForPA.
Americans understand that when we stand together, and don’t let demagogues and oligarchs divide us, there is nothing we can't accomplish. Tune in. https://t.co/kjiFN64mqQ
Thank you Parma Heights for a packed house at our Fighting Oligarchy rally.
Americans deserve leaders who have the courage to take on the billionaire class and fight for working people.
That’s exactly the type of courage @bpforcongress will bring to Congress.
Let’s bet on America — not against it. I’m proposing a 10% fee on prediction markets and online gambling to fund an American Innovation Fund—investing in AI, quantum computing, fusion energy, life sciences, and national security tech.
President Xi is investing in the future, whereas President Trump’s cuts in NIH and NSF is defaulting on America’s preeminence. That’s not how you win.
Let’s fund cures, build new energy resources, lead in defense technologies and quantum tech.
Stop falling further behind, start investing in winning again. That’s the American way.
https://t.co/OKcbJyOYYz
My name is Trey Martin and I'm running for US Congress in Oklahoma's 5th district because time for Washington to learn who’s boss.
I'm an ironworker, union leader, husband, and dad, fighting for working Oklahomans. We deserve better.
#OK5#Oklahoma