ResonantSignal

Deciphering patterns, trading the unseen, and navigating market signals with precision. Strategy over noise, discipline over doubt.🌒🦉

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

Into PCE and payrolls, futures price an October hike near 75%, and the tape already shows who pays for it: bonds and small caps, not the index. The ten-year hit a 2007 high in the same week chip names set records. Not advice.

https://t.co/JyK3fHbkl9

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

The reflex behind every dip since 2024 is now void: weakness no longer means help is coming. The committee hiked 12-0 and 16 of 18 dots want more. A hike is an event. A unanimous hike with the dots behind it is a cycle. Not advice.

https://t.co/aXUv5s6dt5

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

The FOMC hiked to 3.75-4.00% on a 12-0 vote, its first increase since July 2023, as crude held above 100 a barrel. $SPY closed the week -0.34%, QQQ +0.92%, IWM -1.66%.

Not advice.

#markets #FOMC

https://t.co/WBo8KMhK0v

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

A higher R-star was the bearish branch of every pre-Fed grid, and leadership just chose it. Banks fell 1.6% while chips held green, and no bond on our 620-name board holds its 50-day. Warsh sees no real improvement in inflation. Wrong if banks lead Thursday. Not advice. $XLF

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

Payrolls printed 162,000 against 55,000 expected, and hike odds went from 49% to 58%. $SPY fell 0.39%, while semis rose 3.52% the same day. What got sold was multiple, not order book.

Not advice.

#markets #semiconductors

https://t.co/pZ2JxF60rB

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

@coil_trade Jackson Hole effect

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

Nvidia doubled its earnings and finished the week +1.31%.

+8.74% Thursday on the print.
−4.58% Friday, after Jackson Hole.

SPY +0.47% · QQQ +0.42% · IWM −1.40%, second red week.

#markets #stocks #NVDA #macro https://t.co/7FHBorWJSY

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

https://t.co/QZmQJIXimY

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

@vetoidoled He’s actually just a dude that’s in the gym all the time with other dudes who talk just like all other dudes.

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

Stop babysitting charts.

https://t.co/LCqipLvyde

$SOXX $SPY $QQQ $VIX $SPCX $HOOD

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

https://t.co/YZyKeTgC0x

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

We shipped a big upgrade on our day trade board today...and by the looks of this market, we're gonna need it (not advice)

https://t.co/VOD6LCRP63

$SOXX $SPY $QQQ $MU $SNDK $SPCX $IGV

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

https://t.co/ig5WF4N4nO

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

https://t.co/Tu21IACKHl

[Coil.Trade @coil_trade]

How we read it: higher-for-longer with hike risk is what the rate-sensitive AI/semis trade feared most — and the complex already flushed -5.9% into it. The new Middle East/energy supply-shock language keeps inflation hot. Next: Warsh presser, 11:30 PT.

$SOXX

Not advice.

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

@michaeljburry Right next to the alien bases

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

@scaling01 It’s not over until they achieve Heisenberg levels of purity

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

@FirstSquawk Just another grift

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

Bonus conspiracy: China is behind the Samsung strikes in Korea and the JPY BOJ disaster in 🇯🇵

[ResonantSignal @resonantsignal]

For those that haven’t figured it out yet; the China meeting didn’t exactly solve the pissing contest and who’s going to yield control in this new world.

So US has opted to control energy (Iran, Venezuela)

And China has chose the semis (Taiwan).

Enjoy the fight. You can view it at your local bond market 🍿