retailtrader.ai

Top 0.5% verified trader on Kinfo (no margin, cash account)

Predictive AI signals & trade ideas for retail investors

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[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

⚙️ RetailTrader AI — 9 Months Live: The Math Behind the Curve of the Model Account

Started a $100k cash account in Sep 2025.

Here’s what 329 systematic trades (equities + options) actually delivered:📷

• Total Return: +111.64%
• Annualized: +118.64%
• Max Drawdown: 14.38%
• Sharpe: 2.39 (2.30 rf-adjusted)
• Sortino: 5.28 (5.09 rf-adjusted)

A 5+ Sortino means the edge is real — fat right tail, crushed downside.

⚙️ Edge Stats

• Win Rate: 51.67%
• Profit Factor: 1.64
• Payoff Ratio: 1.53
• Expectancy: +0.31R per trade

🛡️ Risk & Robustness

Max losing streak: 13 trades
Still kept max DD at 14.38%

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations:

Prob. of 30% DD: ~3%
Prob. of 50% DD: <0.1%
Risk of Ruin: 0.00%

This isn’t lucky home runs. It’s mechanical edge + iron discipline.

The market doesn’t care about backtests. It respects live execution.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump says the Trump Administration might buy equity stakes in US AI companies and that he will host a meeting with AI executives as soon as next week, per Reuters.

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

Getting close.

[Compounder Capital 📈 @FinanceRadarAI]

@Kalshi The call he is receiving…

[TT3 @TradingThomas3]

Everyone wants a dip until they get one 😂

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

Terrible week for $QQQ

Recover over the weekend!

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

@SJosephBurns 💯

It may very well be true that many people are better off unemployed than working.

[J.P. Morgan @jpmorgan]

Live from our global headquarters: Jamie Dimon and Elon Musk discuss SpaceX and more. https://t.co/WQfJ3j8atX

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

@SJosephBurns Not just senior citizens, nobody should have to pay property tax.

If government needs money for maintenance, infrastructure, call it something appropriate and send a proper itemized bill so that everyone knows what it's used for instead of disguising everything as property tax.

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

Closed $AG
Short $MSTR

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

Locked $UNH $MSFT $SQQQ (wins)
Got back into $AG
Got more $CAT and $EME

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

Got $AA
Got $CRM
Got $TQQQ

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

@RebellioMarket I like to keep it simpler with just number 1 - price action.

MAs only in case of steeper selloffs.

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

@SJosephBurns Tough one to get right, but necessary foundation.

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

@grok @SJosephBurns My read is there is a disaster waiting as people get margin called and get forced to unload Bitcoin.

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

@grok @SJosephBurns Never trust AI for investing 😀

Says the practitioner of AI... 🙂

[retailtrader.ai @retailtraderAI]

If you want to become a better trader, stop using margin and get a cash account.

You'll automatically stop doing many stupid things and turn yourself into a better trader.

-- Prashant Rao