Hamad Medjedovic ML +144 (1u) FD
Odds have gotten a little too wide. I'll gladly fade Ugo again at this price. Hamad is a dangerous player with a with a big serve and solid enough BH to hang with the lefty from the baseline. Just not fully sold on the form of Humbert yet and I think this will be a very close match. We should see some long, service-friendly sets with probably a TB or 2. For a match with that little margin, I have to take the +144.
Hamad Medjedovic ML +144 (1u) FD
Odds have gotten a little too wide. I'll gladly fade Ugo again at this price. Hamad is a dangerous player with a with a big serve and solid enough BH to hang with the lefty from the baseline. Just not fully sold on the form of Humbert yet and I think this will be a very close match. We should see some long, service-friendly sets with probably a TB or 2. For a match with that little margin, I have to take the +144.
Disgustingly bad day of gambling yesterday. Books whooped my fucking ass.
Bad news for the books though: today is a new God damn day.
Everything single bet posted and tracked on the spreadsheet in my bio.
Fritz/Marozsan o22.5 -140 (1.5u) FD #ATPHalle
Laying some juice here for a low number. Fritz is just a games-over machine at the moment with how poorly he is returning. Maroszan should be able to fly through his services games - and so should Fritz.
Frances Tiafoe ML +126 (2u) DK #ATPHalle
Definitely don't think Foe should be an underdog here with how he's performed this week. Felix on the other hand hasn't been necessarily too convincing. Tiafoe's crosscourt BH has been on fire and that's a weapon that will greatly trouble Felix's weak backhand. I think foe will be able to rush Felix in this matchup and make him uncomfortable. Should be a pick em at absolute worst
Tiafoe/Shimabukuro o22.5 -126 (1.25u) FD #ATPHalle
Line a bit too low for these two big-serving players in quicker conditions. This line can cash with two tight sets and I wouldn't be surprised if this match went to a decider.
Adrian Mannarino ML -118 (1u) FD #HSBCChampionships
Just think Mannarino needs to be a bigger favorite here with his experience edge alone. Fery will have the crowd support but sometimes that can just mean added pressure and against a grass player as tricky as Mannarino the last thing you want is to be in your own head. Fair price Rino -150