bitcoin:native
Assuming this bear market plays out like every other one.
Buying in the deep fibs (61.8-78.6) has always been good long term value.
4 year cycle in control.
In trading, intuition can carry you for a while.
We can catch great moves in forgiving conditions like alt season and mistake good timing for real edge.
But over time, the market separates luck from something repeatable.
The real shift comes when we stop trying to predict every move and start thinking probabilistically, risk defined, asymmetry identified, uncertainty accepted, execution repeated.
The edge is not being right.
The edge is being paid properly when you are.
When markets are tough and you're struggling to trade I guess theres always a rainbet deal somewhere... joke