Fucking brutal market conditions.
Bitcoin at the bottom of the range and hanging on by a thread. MACD weekly bear cross in effect.
ETH broke the multi year uptrend line.
SOL down 50% in a month.
Most altcoins mega rekt. Loads of rejections across the board.
S&P 500 3% off ATHs... but fear is growing. Inflation, tariffs, and lots of other factors are spooking the market.
Basically everything I thought was going to play out for markets has been wrong so far in 2025. Classic. Round tripped a lot of potential profits and took some losses on some newer altcoin buys.
The altcoin sell off is one for the record books. There are still various bullish catalysts that could send markets soaring in 2025.
But we are nearing an invalidation point for those things to happen.
Better days will come for the markets and crypto is not going anywhere... but holy shit this has been savage.
Six Crucial Trading Lessons:
1. Understand Probabilities: Recognize that trading involves probabilities, not certainties. Attempting to trade without any losses is unrealistic and counterproductive.
2. Accept Losses: View losses as a normal part of trading. Accept them without letting them affect your emotional state or decision-making process.
3. Manage Emotions: Don't let losses lead to negative emotions like frustration, depression, or anger. These can cloud judgment and lead to poor trading decisions.
4. Swift Loss Cutting: Identify losses quickly and cut them short. Prolonging a losing position in hopes of a turnaround often exacerbates losses.
5. Focus on Wins: Allow your winning trades to run. This means giving profitable positions more time or room to grow, unlike losses which should be cut swiftly.
6. Rational Decision-Making: Avoid irrational behavior by not setting expectations that are out of touch with market realities. Striving for perfection in trading outcomes is not only impossible but also damaging to your strategy and mental health.
Michael Saylor giving advice to his 20 year old self.
This is a must listen.
Great advice for anyone and also explains so much about where Saylor and MicroStrategy are right now.
“The market is random.”
“No one knows where it is heading”
That’s pure cope.
You know who says that?
LOSERS.
The people who buy at resistance,
And sell at support thinking it’s over.
Nothing in this market is random.
Price doesn’t move by chance.
Price follows liquidity.
Smart money is playing you.
They know exactly how to trap retail.
They wait at support while you PANIC sell.
They bait you at resistance while you FOMO buy.
Support & resistance zones aren’t just lines,
They’re the levels whales use to accumulate and distribute.
When you know how to read a chart,
You see their game plan before it even happens.
Every wick, every pump, every dump,
It’s all part of the system.
Retail panics. Smart money profit.
The #crypto market isn’t random.
It’s rigged.
And if you don’t learn to read the charts,
You’re the one being played.
#Bitcoin
the current correction from 102k to 92k has made the bearish voices suggesting a drop to 78k louder.
However, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still showing a regular bull flag pattern. There are no clear breakouts to either side, indicating the market remains in a consolidation phase rather than entering a distribution phase.
While a move to 78k is possible, the current OBV suggests the bull market structure is intact, pointing to a potential continuation once consolidation resolves.